ON TIMEBOARD

AA 4281 on time

American Airlines 4281: Chicago to Tulsa at 10:05 p.m. (past 12 months)

On time
66%
136 flights · likely 58–74%
Cancelled
4.4%
of scheduled flights
Typical arrival
−6 min
median vs schedule
When late
+69 min
average delay
Similar flights
64%
AA, same route & hour

About 1 in 3 AA 4281 flights from Chicago arrived 15+ minutes late, diverted or cancelled over the past year (34%); 4.4% were cancelled. The typical flight landed 6 minutes early.

AA 4281: ORD → TUL

Scheduled to leave Chicago at 10:05 p.m. local time, operated by Envoy as MQ 4281. Over the past year it arrived on time 66% of the time (136 flights), in line with other AA flights on the route at that hour (64%). Last seen in the data Aug 31, 2026.

Usually American Airlines's last flight of the day from Chicago to Tulsa (100% of days). American Airlines's last ORD–TUL flight was cancelled 4.7% of the time, against 2.6% for its earlier ones. If it's cancelled, the next American Airlines flight is usually around 9:40 a.m. the next morning.

Month by month

40%70%100%Jan 2025: 91% on time (22 flights)91JanFeb 2025: too few flights (10 flights)FebJun 2025: 58% on time (26 flights)58JunJul 2025: 56% on time (27 flights)56JulAug 2025: 67% on time (21 flights)67AugSep 2025: 86% on time (28 flights)86SepOct 2025: too few flights (5 flights)OctMay 2026: too few flights (11 flights)MayJun 2026: 63% on time (30 flights)63JunJul 2026: 52% on time (31 flights)52JulAug 2026: 58% on time (31 flights)58Aug

By day of week

DayFlightsOn time
Monday19—
Tuesday18—
Wednesday19—
Thursday2065%
Friday2065%
Saturday2065%
Sunday2065%

Why it was late

Late inbound plane 39%Airline (crew, maintenance, ops) 24%Severe weather 19%Air traffic & airport (NAS) 19%

All flights ORD → TUL · Connecting off AA 4281? Check the risk

Questions

How often is AA 4281 from ORD to TUL late?

American Airlines 4281 from Chicago, IL to Tulsa, OK arrived 15 or more minutes late, was diverted or was cancelled on 34% of 136 scheduled flights between September 2025 and August 2026. 4.4% were cancelled.

Flight numbers change. Figures cover flights with this airline, number and route only. "Likely range" is the 95% interval for the true on-time rate given the number of flights. This is history, not live status: check American Airlines for today's flight. Method.