ON TIMEBOARD

AS 451 on time

Alaska Airlines 451: New Orleans to Seattle at 7:00 a.m. (past 12 months)

On time
73%
303 flights · likely 68–78%
Cancelled
0.3%
of scheduled flights
Typical arrival
−1 min
median vs schedule
When late
+50 min
average delay
Similar flights
76%
AS, same route & hour

About 1 in 4 AS 451 flights from New Orleans arrived 15+ minutes late, diverted or cancelled over the past year (27%); 0.3% were cancelled. The typical flight landed 1 minutes early.

AS 451: MSY → SEA

Scheduled to leave New Orleans at 7:00 a.m. local time. Over the past year it arrived on time 73% of the time (303 flights), in line with other AS flights on the route at that hour (76%). Last seen in the data Aug 17, 2026.

Month by month

40%70%100%Sep 2025: 86% on time (21 flights)86SepOct 2025: 67% on time (30 flights)67OctNov 2025: 73% on time (30 flights)73NovDec 2025: 71% on time (31 flights)71DecJan 2026: too few flights (6 flights)JanFeb 2026: 65% on time (17 flights)65FebMar 2026: 52% on time (29 flights)52MarApr 2026: 93% on time (30 flights)93AprMay 2026: 77% on time (31 flights)77MayJun 2026: 63% on time (30 flights)63JunJul 2026: 84% on time (31 flights)84JulAug 2026: 76% on time (17 flights)76Aug

By day of week

DayFlightsOn time
Monday4676%
Tuesday4078%
Wednesday3876%
Thursday4571%
Friday4571%
Saturday4466%
Sunday4576%

Why it was late

Late inbound plane 51%Air traffic & airport (NAS) 28%Airline (crew, maintenance, ops) 13%Severe weather 4%Security 4%

All flights MSY → SEA · Connecting off AS 451? Check the risk

Questions

How often is AS 451 from MSY to SEA late?

Alaska Airlines 451 from New Orleans, LA to Seattle, WA arrived 15 or more minutes late, was diverted or was cancelled on 27% of 303 scheduled flights between September 2025 and August 2026. 0.3% were cancelled.

Flight numbers change. Figures cover flights with this airline, number and route only. "Likely range" is the 95% interval for the true on-time rate given the number of flights. This is history, not live status: check Alaska Airlines for today's flight. Method.