76% of flights from Baltimore to Tampa arrived on time over the past 12 months. That is about the typical U.S. route. The 6 a.m. departures ran on time 92% of the time; the 8 p.m. ones 58%. Most reliable airline: Southwest Airlines (77%). 9% of flights arrived more than an hour late or not at all.
How late?
The on-time rate treats a flight 20 minutes late the same as one 5 hours late. Here's the split for BWI → TPA: when a flight was late, it was under 45 minutes late 59% of the time. About 1 in 15 flights landed an hour or more late, and 1 in 95 three hours or more; 2.0% were cancelled outright.
- On time or early76%
- 15–30 min late8.4%
- 30–60 min late6.5%
- 1–2 hours late4.0%
- 2–3 hours late1.5%
- 3+ hours late1.1%
- Diverted0.3%
- Cancelled2.0%
Share of all 2,651 scheduled flights, past 12 months, by arrival time against schedule.
By airline
| Airline | Flights | On time | Cancelled | Typical arrival | 1h+ late | Avg when late | Operated by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwest Airlines | 2,287 | 77% | 1.8% | −6 min | 6.2% | +58 min | Southwest Airlines |
| Frontier Airlines | 337 | 73% | 3.3% | −9 min | 9.2% | +87 min | Frontier Airlines |
| Spirit Airlines | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | Spirit Airlines |
Airline = the name on the ticket. Regional flights (e.g. "Delta Connection") count under the ticketing airline, and the operator is listed.
Best time of day to fly
On-time rate by scheduled departure hour (local time at BWI). Delays build through the day as late planes knock on, so early flights usually do best.
By airline and hour
| Departs | Southwest Airlines |
|---|---|
| 6 a.m. | 93% |
| 7 a.m. | 90% |
| 8 a.m. | 90% |
| 9 a.m. | 83% |
| 10 a.m. | 85% |
| 1 p.m. | 68% |
| 2 p.m. | 77% |
| 4 p.m. | 73% |
| 5 p.m. | 58% |
| 6 p.m. | 69% |
| 7 p.m. | 72% |
| 8 p.m. | 63% |
Last flight of the day
On BWI → TPA, each airline's last flight of the day was cancelled 2.2% of the time, against 1.8% for its earlier flights (1.3× as often). It arrived 3+ hours late 1.2% of the time (earlier flights: 1.0%). It matters more than the numbers suggest. Miss an earlier flight and there's another one that evening; miss the last one and you're usually waiting until morning.
| Airline | Last departure | Last: cancelled | Last: 3h+ late | Earlier: cancelled | Next morning |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwest Airlines | 8:55 p.m. | 1.9% | 0.8% | 1.8% | first flight 7:00 a.m. |
Last flight = the airline's last scheduled departure on this route that day, on days it flies the route at least twice; past 12 months. Times are typical scheduled times over the latest three months.
If you need to be in TPA tonight, book an earlier flight so there's a backup if it's cancelled.
By month
Each calendar month pooled over 2023–2026. Best: November (85%). Worst: July (63%).
By day of week
| Day | Flights | On time | Cancelled |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monday | 417 | 72% | 4.6% |
| Tuesday | 349 | 85% | 1.7% |
| Wednesday | 350 | 84% | 0.6% |
| Thursday | 389 | 78% | 0.5% |
| Friday | 410 | 73% | 1.9% |
| Saturday | 336 | 77% | 1.5% |
| Sunday | 400 | 67% | 3.0% |
Why flights were late
Share of delay minutes on flights 15+ minutes late, as reported to BTS by the airlines.
Cancellations: weather 28 · airline 14 · air traffic/airport 12
Month by month
Worst days in the past year
| Date | Flights | On time | Cancelled |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2026 | 8 | 0% | 6 |
| Aug 3, 2026 | 7 | 0% | 0 |
| Jan 25, 2026 | 7 | 0% | 6 |
| Aug 20, 2026 | 7 | 0% | 0 |
| Feb 22, 2026 | 8 | 13% | 5 |
Nearby airport alternatives
Other ways to make the same trip, using airports within 60 miles of Baltimore or Tampa. IAD → TPA has been 7 points more reliable.
| Route | Flights | On time | Cancelled |
|---|---|---|---|
| BWI → TPA (this route) | 2,651 | 76% | 2.0% |
| IAD → TPA Washington Dulles to Tampa | 1,287 | 83% | 0.8% |
| BWI → SRQ Baltimore/Washington to Sarasota Bradenton | 1,248 | 78% | 1.9% |
| DCA → SRQ Washington Reagan National to Sarasota Bradenton | 465 | 77% | 1.7% |
| DCA → TPA Washington Reagan National to Tampa | 2,248 | 72% | 2.6% |
Questions
How often are flights from BWI to TPA on time?
76% of 2,651 scheduled flights from Baltimore, MD to Tampa, FL arrived within 15 minutes of schedule between September 2025 and August 2026. 2.0% were cancelled.
What is the best time of day to fly BWI to TPA?
Flights scheduled to leave at 6 a.m. were the most reliable (92% on time). The 8 p.m. departures were the least (58%).
Which airline is most on time from BWI to TPA?
Southwest Airlines: 77% of its 2,287 flights on the route arrived on time. Frontier Airlines: 73%.
What month has the most delays from BWI to TPA?
July (63% on time). The best month is November (85%), over 2023–2026.
Is the last flight of the day from BWI to TPA more likely to be cancelled?
Yes. Each airline's last BWI–TPA flight of the day was cancelled 2.2% of the time over the past year, against 1.8% for its earlier flights. If the last flight is cancelled, the next one is usually the following morning.
Related
- TPA → BWI (return)
- Baltimore/Washington (BWI) delays by hour
- Flights into Tampa (TPA)
- Southwest Airlines on-time record
- Frontier Airlines on-time record
- Spirit Airlines on-time record
- Connecting off this flight? Check the risk
Domestic flights by the airlines that report to the U.S. DOT, plus their regional partners. "On time" means arriving less than 15 minutes after schedule; cancelled and diverted flights count as not on time. Past performance is a guide, not a forecast. Method.