ON TIMEBOARD

BZN → SEA on time

Bozeman Yellowstone (Bozeman, MT) to Seattle-Tacoma (Seattle, WA). Every scheduled flight, September 2025 to August 2026.

On time
84%
arrived < 15 min late
Cancelled
0.7%
2,074 flights
Typical arrival
−7 min
median vs schedule
When late
+60 min
average delay
Flights / day
6
2 airlines

84% of flights from Bozeman to Seattle arrived on time over the past 12 months. That is better than the typical U.S. route. The 8 a.m. departures ran on time 93% of the time; the 7 p.m. ones 76%. Most reliable airline: Delta Air Lines (88%). 5% of flights arrived more than an hour late or not at all.

How late?

The on-time rate treats a flight 20 minutes late the same as one 5 hours late. Here's the split for BZN → SEA: when a flight was late, it was under 45 minutes late 59% of the time. About 1 in 22 flights landed an hour or more late, and 1 in 138 three hours or more; 0.7% were cancelled outright.

Share of all 2,074 scheduled flights, past 12 months, by arrival time against schedule.

By airline

AirlineFlightsOn timeCancelledTypical arrival1h+ lateAvg when lateOperated by
Alaska Airlines1,29881%1.0%−7 min5.3%+56 minAlaska Airlines 48%, Horizon Air 39%, SkyWest 12%
Delta Air Lines77688%0.1%−9 min3.4%+71 minSkyWest

Airline = the name on the ticket. Regional flights (e.g. "Delta Connection") count under the ticketing airline, and the operator is listed.

Best time of day to fly

On-time rate by scheduled departure hour (local time at BZN). Delays build through the day as late planes knock on, so early flights usually do best.

40%70%100%6 a.m. departures: too few flights (95 flights)6a7 a.m. departures: 91% on time (384 flights)917a8 a.m. departures: 93% on time (239 flights)938a9 a.m. departures: too few flights9a10 a.m. departures: too few flights (83 flights)10a11 a.m. departures: 88% on time (279 flights)8811anoon departures: too few flights (25 flights)12p1 p.m. departures: too few flights (28 flights)1p2 p.m. departures: too few flights (59 flights)2p3 p.m. departures: 81% on time (519 flights)813p4 p.m. departures: too few flights (35 flights)4p5 p.m. departures: too few flights (47 flights)5p6 p.m. departures: too few flights (69 flights)6p7 p.m. departures: 76% on time (211 flights)767p
BZN → SEA, share of flights arriving on time, by departure hour. Hours with under 100 flights are greyed out.
82%+ on time76–82%68–76%under 68%too few flights

By airline and hour

DepartsAlaska AirlinesDelta Air Lines
7 a.m.93%90%
8 a.m.93%93%
11 a.m.88%—
3 p.m.79%84%
7 p.m.76%—

Last flight of the day

On BZN → SEA, each airline's last flight of the day was cancelled 0.7% of the time, against 0.7% for its earlier flights, about the same. It arrived 3+ hours late 0.5% of the time (earlier flights: 0.8%). It matters more than the numbers suggest. Miss an earlier flight and there's another one that evening; miss the last one and you're usually waiting until morning.

AirlineLast departureLast: cancelledLast: 3h+ lateEarlier: cancelledNext morning
Alaska Airlines6:58 p.m.1.1%0.0%1.0%first flight 6:03 a.m.
Delta Air Lines3:54 p.m.0.3%1.1%0.0%first flight 8:25 a.m.

Last flight = the airline's last scheduled departure on this route that day, on days it flies the route at least twice; past 12 months. Times are typical scheduled times over the latest three months.

By month

Each calendar month pooled over 2023–2026. Best: November (90%). Worst: August (73%).

40%70%100%Jan: 80% on time (384 flights)80JanFeb: 79% on time (346 flights)79FebMar: 84% on time (364 flights)84MarApr: 86% on time (332 flights)86AprMay: 81% on time (386 flights)81MayJun: 76% on time (420 flights)76JunJul: 77% on time (522 flights)77JulAug: 73% on time (507 flights)73AugSep: 84% on time (402 flights)84SepOct: 88% on time (339 flights)88OctNov: 90% on time (318 flights)90NovDec: 81% on time (345 flights)81Dec

By day of week

DayFlightsOn timeCancelled
Monday31483%0.0%
Tuesday28488%0.0%
Wednesday27485%0.7%
Thursday30483%0.7%
Friday30779%2.3%
Saturday29184%0.3%
Sunday30084%0.7%

Why flights were late

Share of delay minutes on flights 15+ minutes late, as reported to BTS by the airlines.

Airline (crew, maintenance, ops) 36%Late inbound plane 28%Air traffic & airport (NAS) 25%Severe weather 11%

Cancellations: airline 7 · weather 5 · air traffic/airport 2

Month by month

50%75%100%Sep 2023Jan 2024Jan 2025Jan 2026May 2024: 77% on time, 0.0% cancelledJun 2024: 75% on time, 0.0% cancelledJul 2024: 70% on time, 0.8% cancelledAug 2024: 64% on time, 0.8% cancelledSep 2024: 67% on time, 0.0% cancelledJan 2025: 74% on time, 2.6% cancelledFeb 2025: 57% on time, 3.0% cancelledMar 2025: 81% on time, 0.0% cancelledMay 2025: 79% on time, 0.0% cancelledJun 2025: 72% on time, 0.0% cancelledJul 2025: 79% on time, 1.4% cancelledAug 2025: 80% on time, 0.9% cancelledSep 2025: 91% on time, 0.0% cancelledOct 2025: 89% on time, 0.6% cancelledNov 2025: 89% on time, 2.5% cancelledDec 2025: 76% on time, 1.7% cancelledJan 2026: 90% on time, 0.0% cancelledFeb 2026: 89% on time, 0.0% cancelledMar 2026: 84% on time, 1.7% cancelledApr 2026: 87% on time, 0.6% cancelledMay 2026: 84% on time, 0.0% cancelledJun 2026: 79% on time, 0.6% cancelledJul 2026: 79% on time, 0.0% cancelledAug 2026: 69% on time, 0.6% cancelled
Share of flights on time, by month (hover a point for cancellations)
BZN → SEA, monthly on-time and cancellation rate.

Flight numbers on this route

Regular flights with at least 120 scheduled trips in the past year. Sorted by departure time.

FlightDepartsFlightsOn timeCancelledTypical arrivalOperated by
DL 40928:25 a.m.25590%0.0%−8 minSkyWest
AS 214110:26 a.m.21278%0.9%+2 minHorizon Air

Worst days in the past year

DateFlightsOn timeCancelled
Mar 13, 202660%3
Dec 27, 2025714%0
Dec 19, 2025617%1
Aug 5, 2026633%0
Dec 31, 2025633%1

Questions

How often are flights from BZN to SEA on time?

84% of 2,074 scheduled flights from Bozeman, MT to Seattle, WA arrived within 15 minutes of schedule between September 2025 and August 2026. 0.7% were cancelled.

What is the best time of day to fly BZN to SEA?

Flights scheduled to leave at 8 a.m. were the most reliable (93% on time). The 7 p.m. departures were the least (76%).

Which airline is most on time from BZN to SEA?

Delta Air Lines: 88% of its 776 flights on the route arrived on time. Alaska Airlines: 81%.

What month has the most delays from BZN to SEA?

August (73% on time). The best month is November (90%), over 2023–2026.

Is the last flight of the day from BZN to SEA more likely to be cancelled?

Not much. Each airline's last BZN–SEA flight of the day was cancelled 0.7% of the time over the past year, against 0.7% for its earlier flights. If the last flight is cancelled, the next one is usually the following morning.

Related

Domestic flights by the airlines that report to the U.S. DOT, plus their regional partners. "On time" means arriving less than 15 minutes after schedule; cancelled and diverted flights count as not on time. Past performance is a guide, not a forecast. Method.