ON TIMEBOARD

DCA → ORF on time

Washington Reagan National (Washington, DC) to Norfolk (Norfolk, VA). Every scheduled flight, September 2025 to August 2026.

On time
59%
arrived < 15 min late
Cancelled
4.8%
1,039 flights
Typical arrival
+1 min
median vs schedule
When late
+76 min
average delay
Flights / day
3
1 airline

59% of flights from Washington to Norfolk arrived on time over the past 12 months. That is worse than the typical U.S. route. The 8 a.m. departures ran on time 68% of the time; the 8 p.m. ones 46%. 21% of flights arrived more than an hour late or not at all.

How late?

The on-time rate treats a flight 20 minutes late the same as one 5 hours late. Here's the split for DCA → ORF: when a flight was late, it was under 45 minutes late 46% of the time. About 1 in 6 flights landed an hour or more late, and 1 in 40 three hours or more; 4.8% were cancelled outright.

Share of all 1,039 scheduled flights, past 12 months, by arrival time against schedule.

By airline

AirlineFlightsOn timeCancelledTypical arrival1h+ lateAvg when lateOperated by
American Airlines1,03959%4.8%+1 min16.1%+76 minPSA Airlines 100%, Republic Airways 0%

Airline = the name on the ticket. Regional flights (e.g. "Delta Connection") count under the ticketing airline, and the operator is listed.

Best time of day to fly

On-time rate by scheduled departure hour (local time at DCA). Delays build through the day as late planes knock on, so early flights usually do best.

40%70%100%8 a.m. departures: 68% on time (136 flights)688a9 a.m. departures: 67% on time (183 flights)679a10 a.m. departures: too few flights (20 flights)10a11 a.m. departures: too few flights (3 flights)11anoon departures: too few flights (74 flights)12p1 p.m. departures: 56% on time (114 flights)561p2 p.m. departures: too few flights2p3 p.m. departures: too few flights (67 flights)3p4 p.m. departures: too few flights (26 flights)4p5 p.m. departures: too few flights (55 flights)5p6 p.m. departures: too few flights6p7 p.m. departures: too few flights (14 flights)7p8 p.m. departures: 46% on time (130 flights)468p9 p.m. departures: too few flights (56 flights)9p10 p.m. departures: 53% on time (161 flights)5310p
DCA → ORF, share of flights arriving on time, by departure hour. Hours with under 100 flights are greyed out.
82%+ on time76–82%68–76%under 68%too few flights

Last flight of the day

On DCA → ORF, each airline's last flight of the day was cancelled 8.4% of the time, against 3.1% for its earlier flights (2.7× as often). It arrived 3+ hours late 2.3% of the time (earlier flights: 2.8%). It matters more than the numbers suggest. Miss an earlier flight and there's another one that evening; miss the last one and you're usually waiting until morning.

AirlineLast departureLast: cancelledLast: 3h+ lateEarlier: cancelledNext morning
American Airlines8:38 p.m.8.4%2.3%3.1%first flight 9:45 a.m.

Last flight = the airline's last scheduled departure on this route that day, on days it flies the route at least twice; past 12 months. Times are typical scheduled times over the latest three months.

If you need to be in ORF tonight, book an earlier flight so there's a backup if it's cancelled.

By month

Each calendar month pooled over 2023–2026. Best: September (77%). Worst: July (56%).

40%70%100%Jan: 62% on time (311 flights)62JanFeb: 63% on time (284 flights)63FebMar: 71% on time (300 flights)71MarApr: 73% on time (268 flights)73AprMay: 67% on time (273 flights)67MayJun: 65% on time (286 flights)65JunJul: 56% on time (264 flights)56JulAug: 63% on time (282 flights)63AugSep: 77% on time (318 flights)77SepOct: 77% on time (328 flights)77OctNov: 77% on time (331 flights)77NovDec: 71% on time (302 flights)71Dec

By day of week

DayFlightsOn timeCancelled
Monday15359%5.9%
Tuesday15259%4.0%
Wednesday15160%2.0%
Thursday14854%4.0%
Friday14950%6.0%
Saturday13875%4.3%
Sunday14860%7.4%

Why flights were late

Share of delay minutes on flights 15+ minutes late, as reported to BTS by the airlines.

Late inbound plane 56%Airline (crew, maintenance, ops) 23%Severe weather 10%Air traffic & airport (NAS) 10%

Cancellations: weather 37 · air traffic/airport 11 · airline 2

Month by month

50%75%100%Sep 2023Jan 2024Jan 2025Jan 2026Sep 2023: 85% on time, 0.0% cancelledOct 2023: 85% on time, 0.0% cancelledNov 2023: 82% on time, 0.0% cancelledDec 2023: 84% on time, 1.0% cancelledJan 2024: 74% on time, 4.7% cancelledFeb 2024: 80% on time, 0.0% cancelledMar 2024: 78% on time, 0.0% cancelledJun 2024: 83% on time, 2.0% cancelledAug 2024: 71% on time, 6.0% cancelledSep 2024: 75% on time, 0.9% cancelledOct 2024: 80% on time, 0.0% cancelledNov 2024: 84% on time, 0.0% cancelledDec 2024: 72% on time, 3.0% cancelledJan 2025: 60% on time, 12.4% cancelled
Share of flights on time, by month (hover a point for cancellations)
DCA → ORF, monthly on-time and cancellation rate.

Flight numbers on this route

Regular flights with at least 120 scheduled trips in the past year. Sorted by departure time.

FlightDepartsFlightsOn timeCancelledTypical arrivalOperated by
AA 566210:00 p.m.28251%8.2%+5 minPSA Airlines

Worst days in the past year

DateFlightsOn timeCancelled
Oct 14, 202530%0
Jan 31, 202630%1
Jul 21, 202630%2
Dec 9, 202530%0
May 25, 202630%0

Nearby airport alternatives

Other ways to make the same trip, using airports within 60 miles of Washington or Norfolk. IAD → ORF has been 20 points more reliable.

RouteFlightsOn timeCancelled
DCA → ORF (this route)1,03959%4.8%
IAD → ORF Washington Dulles to Norfolk1,41180%1.8%
BWI → ORF Baltimore/Washington to Norfolk1,53977%1.6%

Questions

How often are flights from DCA to ORF on time?

59% of 1,039 scheduled flights from Washington, DC to Norfolk, VA arrived within 15 minutes of schedule between September 2025 and August 2026. 4.8% were cancelled.

What is the best time of day to fly DCA to ORF?

Flights scheduled to leave at 8 a.m. were the most reliable (68% on time). The 8 p.m. departures were the least (46%).

What month has the most delays from DCA to ORF?

July (56% on time). The best month is September (77%), over 2023–2026.

Is the last flight of the day from DCA to ORF more likely to be cancelled?

Yes. Each airline's last DCA–ORF flight of the day was cancelled 8.4% of the time over the past year, against 3.1% for its earlier flights. If the last flight is cancelled, the next one is usually the following morning.

Related

Domestic flights by the airlines that report to the U.S. DOT, plus their regional partners. "On time" means arriving less than 15 minutes after schedule; cancelled and diverted flights count as not on time. Past performance is a guide, not a forecast. Method.