ON TIMEBOARD

DTW → SAN on time

Detroit Metro (Detroit, MI) to San Diego (San Diego, CA). Every scheduled flight, September 2025 to August 2026.

On time
72%
arrived < 15 min late
Cancelled
0.9%
1,269 flights
Typical arrival
0 min
median vs schedule
When late
+60 min
average delay
Flights / day
3
2 airlines

72% of flights from Detroit to San Diego arrived on time over the past 12 months. That is worse than the typical U.S. route. The 8 a.m. departures ran on time 82% of the time; the 8 p.m. ones 59%. 9% of flights arrived more than an hour late or not at all.

How late?

The on-time rate treats a flight 20 minutes late the same as one 5 hours late. Here's the split for DTW → SAN: when a flight was late, it was under 45 minutes late 61% of the time. About 1 in 14 flights landed an hour or more late, and 1 in 63 three hours or more; 0.9% were cancelled outright.

Share of all 1,269 scheduled flights, past 12 months, by arrival time against schedule.

By airline

AirlineFlightsOn timeCancelledTypical arrival1h+ lateAvg when lateOperated by
Delta Air Lines1,25072%0.8%0 min7.4%+60 minDelta Air Lines
Spirit Airlines19—————Spirit Airlines

Airline = the name on the ticket. Regional flights (e.g. "Delta Connection") count under the ticketing airline, and the operator is listed.

Best time of day to fly

On-time rate by scheduled departure hour (local time at DTW). Delays build through the day as late planes knock on, so early flights usually do best.

40%70%100%8 a.m. departures: 82% on time (365 flights)828a9 a.m. departures: too few flights (19 flights)9a10 a.m. departures: too few flights10a11 a.m. departures: too few flights11anoon departures: 73% on time (260 flights)7312p1 p.m. departures: too few flights1p2 p.m. departures: too few flights2p3 p.m. departures: too few flights (31 flights)3p4 p.m. departures: 70% on time (329 flights)704p5 p.m. departures: too few flights (4 flights)5p6 p.m. departures: too few flights6p7 p.m. departures: too few flights7p8 p.m. departures: 59% on time (240 flights)598p9 p.m. departures: too few flights (21 flights)9p
DTW → SAN, share of flights arriving on time, by departure hour. Hours with under 100 flights are greyed out.
82%+ on time76–82%68–76%under 68%too few flights

By airline and hour

DepartsDelta Air Lines
8 a.m.82%
noon73%
4 p.m.70%
8 p.m.59%

Last flight of the day

On DTW → SAN, each airline's last flight of the day was cancelled 0.3% of the time, against 1.0% for its earlier flights, so here the last flight is actually the safer one. It arrived 3+ hours late 2.5% of the time (earlier flights: 1.2%). It matters more than the numbers suggest. Miss an earlier flight and there's another one that evening; miss the last one and you're usually waiting until morning.

AirlineLast departureLast: cancelledLast: 3h+ lateEarlier: cancelledNext morning
Delta Air Lines8:16 p.m.0.3%2.5%1.0%first flight 8:40 a.m.

Last flight = the airline's last scheduled departure on this route that day, on days it flies the route at least twice; past 12 months. Times are typical scheduled times over the latest three months.

By month

Each calendar month pooled over 2023–2026. Best: October (87%). Worst: July (68%).

40%70%100%Jan: 71% on time (235 flights)71JanFeb: 76% on time (212 flights)76FebMar: 81% on time (266 flights)81MarApr: 80% on time (307 flights)80AprMay: 77% on time (331 flights)77MayJun: 71% on time (340 flights)71JunJul: 68% on time (355 flights)68JulAug: 71% on time (354 flights)71AugSep: 82% on time (326 flights)82SepOct: 87% on time (338 flights)87OctNov: 82% on time (311 flights)82NovDec: 78% on time (337 flights)78Dec

By day of week

DayFlightsOn timeCancelled
Monday19970%2.0%
Tuesday16979%0.0%
Wednesday16679%0.0%
Thursday19066%0.5%
Friday19368%0.0%
Saturday15878%1.9%
Sunday19470%1.6%

Why flights were late

Share of delay minutes on flights 15+ minutes late, as reported to BTS by the airlines.

Airline (crew, maintenance, ops) 39%Air traffic & airport (NAS) 30%Late inbound plane 26%Severe weather 4%

Cancellations: airline 9 · weather 2

Month by month

50%75%100%Sep 2023Jan 2024Jan 2025Jan 2026Sep 2023: 85% on time, 0.0% cancelledOct 2023: 93% on time, 0.0% cancelledNov 2023: 91% on time, 0.0% cancelledDec 2023: 97% on time, 0.0% cancelledMay 2024: 73% on time, 0.0% cancelledJun 2024: 65% on time, 0.0% cancelledJul 2024: 67% on time, 5.3% cancelledAug 2024: 70% on time, 0.0% cancelledSep 2024: 86% on time, 0.0% cancelledOct 2024: 83% on time, 0.9% cancelledNov 2024: 85% on time, 0.0% cancelledDec 2024: 74% on time, 1.8% cancelledApr 2025: 77% on time, 1.0% cancelledMay 2025: 83% on time, 0.0% cancelledJun 2025: 74% on time, 0.0% cancelledJul 2025: 68% on time, 1.5% cancelledAug 2025: 81% on time, 0.8% cancelledSep 2025: 76% on time, 1.7% cancelledOct 2025: 85% on time, 0.0% cancelledNov 2025: 71% on time, 0.0% cancelledDec 2025: 62% on time, 2.7% cancelledApr 2026: 79% on time, 0.0% cancelledMay 2026: 77% on time, 0.9% cancelledJun 2026: 75% on time, 0.0% cancelledJul 2026: 67% on time, 0.0% cancelledAug 2026: 62% on time, 0.0% cancelled
Share of flights on time, by month (hover a point for cancellations)
DTW → SAN, monthly on-time and cancellation rate.

Flight numbers on this route

Regular flights with at least 120 scheduled trips in the past year. Sorted by departure time.

FlightDepartsFlightsOn timeCancelledTypical arrivalOperated by
DL 4928:40 a.m.36582%0.8%−4 minDelta Air Lines
DL 215512:30 p.m.14167%0.7%+4 minDelta Air Lines
DL 3694:35 p.m.36471%0.8%+1 minDelta Air Lines
DL 7008:55 p.m.26160%0.4%+7 minDelta Air Lines

Worst days in the past year

DateFlightsOn timeCancelled
Sep 18, 202550%1
Jun 14, 202640%0
Nov 9, 202540%0
Dec 24, 202530%0
Feb 12, 202630%0

Questions

How often are flights from DTW to SAN on time?

72% of 1,269 scheduled flights from Detroit, MI to San Diego, CA arrived within 15 minutes of schedule between September 2025 and August 2026. 0.9% were cancelled.

What is the best time of day to fly DTW to SAN?

Flights scheduled to leave at 8 a.m. were the most reliable (82% on time). The 8 p.m. departures were the least (59%).

What month has the most delays from DTW to SAN?

July (68% on time). The best month is October (87%), over 2023–2026.

Is the last flight of the day from DTW to SAN more likely to be cancelled?

No, the opposite. Each airline's last DTW–SAN flight of the day was cancelled 0.3% of the time over the past year, against 1.0% for its earlier flights. If the last flight is cancelled, the next one is usually the following morning.

Related

Domestic flights by the airlines that report to the U.S. DOT, plus their regional partners. "On time" means arriving less than 15 minutes after schedule; cancelled and diverted flights count as not on time. Past performance is a guide, not a forecast. Method.