71% of flights from Newark to Seattle arrived on time over the past 12 months. That is worse than the typical U.S. route. The 3 p.m. departures ran on time 84% of the time; the 7 p.m. ones 55%. Most reliable airline: United Airlines (73%). 11% of flights arrived more than an hour late or not at all.
How late?
The on-time rate treats a flight 20 minutes late the same as one 5 hours late. Here's the split for EWR → SEA: when a flight was late, it was under 45 minutes late 55% of the time. About 1 in 11 flights landed an hour or more late, and 1 in 51 three hours or more; 2.4% were cancelled outright.
- On time or early71%
- 15–30 min late9.6%
- 30–60 min late8.1%
- 1–2 hours late5.1%
- 2–3 hours late1.7%
- 3+ hours late1.9%
- Diverted0.1%
- Cancelled2.4%
Share of all 2,263 scheduled flights, past 12 months, by arrival time against schedule.
By airline
| Airline | Flights | On time | Cancelled | Typical arrival | 1h+ late | Avg when late | Operated by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaska Airlines | 1,273 | 70% | 2.8% | −3 min | 8.5% | +71 min | Alaska Airlines |
| United Airlines | 990 | 73% | 1.8% | −5 min | 9.0% | +70 min | United Airlines |
Airline = the name on the ticket. Regional flights (e.g. "Delta Connection") count under the ticketing airline, and the operator is listed.
Best time of day to fly
On-time rate by scheduled departure hour (local time at EWR). Delays build through the day as late planes knock on, so early flights usually do best.
By airline and hour
| Departs | Alaska Airlines | United Airlines |
|---|---|---|
| 7 a.m. | 73% | 80% |
| 8 a.m. | — | 76% |
| 9 a.m. | 86% | — |
| 4 p.m. | 72% | — |
| 5 p.m. | 64% | — |
| 7 p.m. | 47% | 65% |
| 8 p.m. | — | 62% |
Last flight of the day
On EWR → SEA, each airline's last flight of the day was cancelled 3.0% of the time, against 2.1% for its earlier flights (1.4× as often). It arrived 3+ hours late 2.0% of the time (earlier flights: 2.0%). It matters more than the numbers suggest. Miss an earlier flight and there's another one that evening; miss the last one and you're usually waiting until morning.
| Airline | Last departure | Last: cancelled | Last: 3h+ late | Earlier: cancelled | Next morning |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaska Airlines | 5:36 p.m. | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | first flight 7:25 a.m. |
| United Airlines | 8:30 p.m. | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | first flight 8:50 a.m. |
Last flight = the airline's last scheduled departure on this route that day, on days it flies the route at least twice; past 12 months. Times are typical scheduled times over the latest three months.
If you need to be in SEA tonight, book an earlier flight so there's a backup if it's cancelled.
By month
Each calendar month pooled over 2023–2026. Best: September (82%). Worst: July (63%).
By day of week
| Day | Flights | On time | Cancelled |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monday | 339 | 71% | 2.4% |
| Tuesday | 319 | 71% | 2.5% |
| Wednesday | 315 | 74% | 1.3% |
| Thursday | 330 | 75% | 3.3% |
| Friday | 331 | 67% | 1.5% |
| Saturday | 296 | 73% | 2.0% |
| Sunday | 333 | 67% | 3.6% |
Why flights were late
Share of delay minutes on flights 15+ minutes late, as reported to BTS by the airlines.
Cancellations: weather 35 · air traffic/airport 10 · airline 9
Month by month
Flight numbers on this route
Regular flights with at least 120 scheduled trips in the past year. Sorted by departure time.
| Flight | Departs | Flights | On time | Cancelled | Typical arrival | Operated by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS 299 | 7:25 a.m. | 293 | 74% | 1.4% | −1 min | Alaska Airlines |
| UA 1330 | 8:50 a.m. | 332 | 77% | 1.5% | −6 min | United Airlines |
| AS 462 | 5:30 p.m. | 347 | 67% | 3.2% | −2 min | Alaska Airlines |
Worst days in the past year
| Date | Flights | On time | Cancelled |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2026 | 8 | 0% | 4 |
| Mar 13, 2026 | 6 | 0% | 0 |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 6 | 0% | 1 |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 6 | 0% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 6 | 0% | 2 |
Nearby airport alternatives
Other ways to make the same trip, using airports within 60 miles of Newark or Seattle. None has been clearly more reliable than EWR → SEA.
| Route | Flights | On time | Cancelled |
|---|---|---|---|
| EWR → SEA (this route) | 2,263 | 71% | 2.4% |
| JFK → SEA New York JFK to Seattle-Tacoma | 2,906 | 67% | 3.4% |
Questions
How often are flights from EWR to SEA on time?
71% of 2,263 scheduled flights from Newark, NJ to Seattle, WA arrived within 15 minutes of schedule between September 2025 and August 2026. 2.4% were cancelled.
What is the best time of day to fly EWR to SEA?
Flights scheduled to leave at 3 p.m. were the most reliable (84% on time). The 7 p.m. departures were the least (55%).
Which airline is most on time from EWR to SEA?
United Airlines: 73% of its 990 flights on the route arrived on time. Alaska Airlines: 70%.
What month has the most delays from EWR to SEA?
July (63% on time). The best month is September (82%), over 2023–2026.
Is the last flight of the day from EWR to SEA more likely to be cancelled?
Yes. Each airline's last EWR–SEA flight of the day was cancelled 3.0% of the time over the past year, against 2.1% for its earlier flights. If the last flight is cancelled, the next one is usually the following morning.
Related
- SEA → EWR (return)
- Newark (EWR) delays by hour
- Flights into Seattle-Tacoma (SEA)
- Alaska Airlines on-time record
- United Airlines on-time record
- Connecting off this flight? Check the risk
Domestic flights by the airlines that report to the U.S. DOT, plus their regional partners. "On time" means arriving less than 15 minutes after schedule; cancelled and diverted flights count as not on time. Past performance is a guide, not a forecast. Method.