ON TIMEBOARD

IAD → PVD on time

Washington Dulles (Washington, DC) to Rhode Island T. F. Green (Providence, RI). Every scheduled flight, September 2025 to August 2026.

On time
77%
arrived < 15 min late
Cancelled
2.3%
1,158 flights
Typical arrival
−7 min
median vs schedule
When late
+107 min
average delay
Flights / day
3
1 airline

77% of flights from Washington to Providence arrived on time over the past 12 months. That is about the typical U.S. route. The 8 a.m. departures ran on time 84% of the time; the 10 p.m. ones 73%. 11% of flights arrived more than an hour late or not at all.

How late?

The on-time rate treats a flight 20 minutes late the same as one 5 hours late. Here's the split for IAD → PVD: when a flight was late, it was under 45 minutes late 48% of the time. About 1 in 11 flights landed an hour or more late, and 1 in 32 three hours or more; 2.3% were cancelled outright.

Share of all 1,158 scheduled flights, past 12 months, by arrival time against schedule.

By airline

AirlineFlightsOn timeCancelledTypical arrival1h+ lateAvg when lateOperated by
United Airlines1,15877%2.3%−7 min8.7%+107 minCommutAir 42%, Mesa Airlines 27%, GoJet 26%, Republic Airways 5%

Airline = the name on the ticket. Regional flights (e.g. "Delta Connection") count under the ticketing airline, and the operator is listed.

Best time of day to fly

On-time rate by scheduled departure hour (local time at IAD). Delays build through the day as late planes knock on, so early flights usually do best.

40%70%100%8 a.m. departures: 84% on time (290 flights)848a9 a.m. departures: too few flights9a10 a.m. departures: too few flights10a11 a.m. departures: too few flights11anoon departures: 78% on time (344 flights)7812p1 p.m. departures: too few flights1p2 p.m. departures: too few flights2p3 p.m. departures: too few flights3p4 p.m. departures: too few flights4p5 p.m. departures: 73% on time (364 flights)735p6 p.m. departures: too few flights6p7 p.m. departures: too few flights7p8 p.m. departures: too few flights8p9 p.m. departures: too few flights9p10 p.m. departures: 73% on time (160 flights)7310p
IAD → PVD, share of flights arriving on time, by departure hour. Hours with under 100 flights are greyed out.
82%+ on time76–82%68–76%under 68%too few flights

Last flight of the day

On IAD → PVD, each airline's last flight of the day was cancelled 3.1% of the time, against 1.9% for its earlier flights (1.6× as often). It arrived 3+ hours late 2.5% of the time (earlier flights: 3.4%). It matters more than the numbers suggest. Miss an earlier flight and there's another one that evening; miss the last one and you're usually waiting until morning.

AirlineLast departureLast: cancelledLast: 3h+ lateEarlier: cancelledNext morning
United Airlines10:10 p.m.3.1%2.5%1.9%first flight 8:15 a.m.

Last flight = the airline's last scheduled departure on this route that day, on days it flies the route at least twice; past 12 months. Times are typical scheduled times over the latest three months.

If you need to be in PVD tonight, book an earlier flight so there's a backup if it's cancelled.

By month

Each calendar month pooled over 2023–2026. Best: October (89%). Worst: January (66%).

40%70%100%Jan: 66% on time (184 flights)66JanFeb: 81% on time (167 flights)81FebMar: 75% on time (237 flights)75MarApr: 81% on time (282 flights)81AprMay: 75% on time (306 flights)75MayJun: 78% on time (341 flights)78JunJul: 71% on time (376 flights)71JulAug: 77% on time (350 flights)77AugSep: 88% on time (267 flights)88SepOct: 89% on time (274 flights)89OctNov: 82% on time (235 flights)82NovDec: 76% on time (227 flights)76Dec

By day of week

DayFlightsOn timeCancelled
Monday17476%3.5%
Tuesday15681%2.6%
Wednesday16577%1.2%
Thursday17176%1.2%
Friday17577%2.3%
Saturday14279%2.1%
Sunday17577%3.4%

Why flights were late

Share of delay minutes on flights 15+ minutes late, as reported to BTS by the airlines.

Late inbound plane 46%Airline (crew, maintenance, ops) 29%Severe weather 15%Air traffic & airport (NAS) 11%

Cancellations: weather 15 · air traffic/airport 12

Month by month

50%75%100%Sep 2023Jan 2024Jan 2025Jan 2026Jun 2024: 80% on time, 1.7% cancelledJul 2024: 70% on time, 2.5% cancelledAug 2024: 74% on time, 5.0% cancelledSep 2024: 89% on time, 0.0% cancelledOct 2024: 89% on time, 0.0% cancelledNov 2024: 81% on time, 0.0% cancelledMar 2025: 68% on time, 1.0% cancelledApr 2025: 77% on time, 0.0% cancelledMay 2025: 74% on time, 0.0% cancelledJun 2025: 71% on time, 3.8% cancelledJul 2025: 61% on time, 4.4% cancelledAug 2025: 80% on time, 0.0% cancelledApr 2026: 81% on time, 0.9% cancelledMay 2026: 71% on time, 0.9% cancelledJun 2026: 82% on time, 0.0% cancelledJul 2026: 79% on time, 5.7% cancelledAug 2026: 76% on time, 2.4% cancelled
Share of flights on time, by month (hover a point for cancellations)
IAD → PVD, monthly on-time and cancellation rate.

Worst days in the past year

DateFlightsOn timeCancelled
Jul 18, 202640%1
Jun 11, 2026425%0
Aug 27, 2026425%0
Apr 5, 2026425%1
May 27, 2026425%1

Nearby airport alternatives

Other ways to make the same trip, using airports within 60 miles of Washington or Providence. None has been clearly more reliable than IAD → PVD.

RouteFlightsOn timeCancelled
IAD → PVD (this route)1,15877%2.3%
BWI → PVD Baltimore/Washington to Rhode Island T. F. Green1,84678%2.3%
IAD → BOS Washington Dulles to Boston Logan1,52475%2.8%
BWI → BOS Baltimore/Washington to Boston Logan3,54072%3.2%
DCA → PVD Washington Reagan National to Rhode Island T. F. Green2,42669%5.2%
DCA → BOS Washington Reagan National to Boston Logan9,10467%4.3%

Questions

How often are flights from IAD to PVD on time?

77% of 1,158 scheduled flights from Washington, DC to Providence, RI arrived within 15 minutes of schedule between September 2025 and August 2026. 2.3% were cancelled.

What is the best time of day to fly IAD to PVD?

Flights scheduled to leave at 8 a.m. were the most reliable (84% on time). The 10 p.m. departures were the least (73%).

What month has the most delays from IAD to PVD?

January (66% on time). The best month is October (89%), over 2023–2026.

Is the last flight of the day from IAD to PVD more likely to be cancelled?

Yes. Each airline's last IAD–PVD flight of the day was cancelled 3.1% of the time over the past year, against 1.9% for its earlier flights. If the last flight is cancelled, the next one is usually the following morning.

Related

Domestic flights by the airlines that report to the U.S. DOT, plus their regional partners. "On time" means arriving less than 15 minutes after schedule; cancelled and diverted flights count as not on time. Past performance is a guide, not a forecast. Method.