77% of flights from Washington to Rochester arrived on time over the past 12 months. That is about the typical U.S. route. The 8 a.m. departures ran on time 83% of the time; the 5 p.m. ones 71%. 11% of flights arrived more than an hour late or not at all.
How late?
The on-time rate treats a flight 20 minutes late the same as one 5 hours late. Here's the split for IAD → ROC: when a flight was late, it was under 45 minutes late 50% of the time. About 1 in 13 flights landed an hour or more late, and 1 in 35 three hours or more; 2.9% were cancelled outright.
- On time or early77%
- 15–30 min late6.2%
- 30–60 min late5.4%
- 1–2 hours late3.8%
- 2–3 hours late1.2%
- 3+ hours late2.9%
- Diverted0.2%
- Cancelled2.9%
Share of all 1,251 scheduled flights, past 12 months, by arrival time against schedule.
By airline
| Airline | Flights | On time | Cancelled | Typical arrival | 1h+ late | Avg when late | Operated by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| United Airlines | 1,251 | 77% | 2.9% | −6 min | 7.9% | +91 min | CommutAir 53%, GoJet 31%, Mesa Airlines 9%, Republic Airways 7%, United Airlines 1% |
Airline = the name on the ticket. Regional flights (e.g. "Delta Connection") count under the ticketing airline, and the operator is listed.
Best time of day to fly
On-time rate by scheduled departure hour (local time at IAD). Delays build through the day as late planes knock on, so early flights usually do best.
Last flight of the day
On IAD → ROC, each airline's last flight of the day was cancelled 2.2% of the time, against 3.2% for its earlier flights, so here the last flight is actually the safer one. It arrived 3+ hours late 2.5% of the time (earlier flights: 3.0%). It matters more than the numbers suggest. Miss an earlier flight and there's another one that evening; miss the last one and you're usually waiting until morning.
| Airline | Last departure | Last: cancelled | Last: 3h+ late | Earlier: cancelled | Next morning |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| United Airlines | 10:37 p.m. | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | first flight 8:25 a.m. |
Last flight = the airline's last scheduled departure on this route that day, on days it flies the route at least twice; past 12 months. Times are typical scheduled times over the latest three months.
By month
Each calendar month pooled over 2023–2026. Best: April (90%). Worst: January (68%).
By day of week
| Day | Flights | On time | Cancelled |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monday | 196 | 72% | 4.1% |
| Tuesday | 175 | 81% | 4.0% |
| Wednesday | 185 | 82% | 2.2% |
| Thursday | 191 | 80% | 2.1% |
| Friday | 191 | 77% | 3.1% |
| Saturday | 147 | 81% | 2.0% |
| Sunday | 166 | 68% | 2.4% |
Why flights were late
Share of delay minutes on flights 15+ minutes late, as reported to BTS by the airlines.
Cancellations: weather 26 · air traffic/airport 8 · airline 2
Month by month
Flight numbers on this route
Regular flights with at least 120 scheduled trips in the past year. Sorted by departure time.
| Flight | Departs | Flights | On time | Cancelled | Typical arrival | Operated by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UA 4871 | 5:30 p.m. | 145 | 69% | 9.0% | −1 min | CommutAir |
Worst days in the past year
| Date | Flights | On time | Cancelled |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2025 | 4 | 0% | 4 |
| Jun 12, 2026 | 4 | 0% | 2 |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 4 | 0% | 0 |
| Mar 13, 2026 | 4 | 0% | 1 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | 3 | 0% | 1 |
Nearby airport alternatives
Other ways to make the same trip, using airports within 60 miles of Washington or Rochester. None has been clearly more reliable than IAD → ROC.
| Route | Flights | On time | Cancelled |
|---|---|---|---|
| IAD → ROC (this route) | 1,251 | 77% | 2.9% |
| IAD → BUF Washington Dulles to Buffalo Niagara | 1,149 | 78% | 2.6% |
| BWI → BUF Baltimore/Washington to Buffalo Niagara | 1,727 | 74% | 2.1% |
| BWI → ROC Baltimore/Washington to Frederick Douglass Greater Rochester | 1,102 | 73% | 1.8% |
| DCA → ROC Washington Reagan National to Frederick Douglass Greater Rochester | 1,032 | 64% | 6.1% |
| DCA → BUF Washington Reagan National to Buffalo Niagara | 1,108 | 60% | 5.6% |
Questions
How often are flights from IAD to ROC on time?
77% of 1,251 scheduled flights from Washington, DC to Rochester, NY arrived within 15 minutes of schedule between September 2025 and August 2026. 2.9% were cancelled.
What is the best time of day to fly IAD to ROC?
Flights scheduled to leave at 8 a.m. were the most reliable (83% on time). The 5 p.m. departures were the least (71%).
What month has the most delays from IAD to ROC?
January (68% on time). The best month is April (90%), over 2023–2026.
Is the last flight of the day from IAD to ROC more likely to be cancelled?
No, the opposite. Each airline's last IAD–ROC flight of the day was cancelled 2.2% of the time over the past year, against 3.2% for its earlier flights. If the last flight is cancelled, the next one is usually the following morning.
Related
- ROC → IAD (return)
- Washington Dulles (IAD) delays by hour
- Flights into Frederick Douglass Greater Rochester (ROC)
- United Airlines on-time record
- Connecting off this flight? Check the risk
Domestic flights by the airlines that report to the U.S. DOT, plus their regional partners. "On time" means arriving less than 15 minutes after schedule; cancelled and diverted flights count as not on time. Past performance is a guide, not a forecast. Method.