ON TIMEBOARD

LGA → XNA on time

LaGuardia (New York, NY) to Northwest Arkansas National (Fayetteville, AR). Every scheduled flight, September 2025 to August 2026.

On time
73%
arrived < 15 min late
Cancelled
4.6%
1,266 flights
Typical arrival
−9 min
median vs schedule
When late
+71 min
average delay
Flights / day
3
2 airlines

73% of flights from New York to Fayetteville arrived on time over the past 12 months. That is worse than the typical U.S. route. The 6 a.m. departures ran on time 91% of the time; the 6 p.m. ones 50%. Most reliable airline: Delta Air Lines (76%). 14% of flights arrived more than an hour late or not at all.

How late?

The on-time rate treats a flight 20 minutes late the same as one 5 hours late. Here's the split for LGA → XNA: when a flight was late, it was under 45 minutes late 49% of the time. About 1 in 11 flights landed an hour or more late, and 1 in 74 three hours or more; 4.6% were cancelled outright.

Share of all 1,266 scheduled flights, past 12 months, by arrival time against schedule.

By airline

AirlineFlightsOn timeCancelledTypical arrival1h+ lateAvg when lateOperated by
American Airlines91871%5.2%−11 min9.7%+76 minRepublic Airways
Delta Air Lines34876%2.9%−6 min6.6%+56 minEndeavor Air

Airline = the name on the ticket. Regional flights (e.g. "Delta Connection") count under the ticketing airline, and the operator is listed.

Best time of day to fly

On-time rate by scheduled departure hour (local time at LGA). Delays build through the day as late planes knock on, so early flights usually do best.

40%70%100%6 a.m. departures: 91% on time (112 flights)916a7 a.m. departures: too few flights (25 flights)7a8 a.m. departures: 77% on time (423 flights)778a9 a.m. departures: too few flights (63 flights)9a10 a.m. departures: too few flights (20 flights)10a11 a.m. departures: too few flights (49 flights)11anoon departures: 74% on time (159 flights)7412p1 p.m. departures: 76% on time (100 flights)761p2 p.m. departures: too few flights (27 flights)2p3 p.m. departures: too few flights (3 flights)3p4 p.m. departures: too few flights (6 flights)4p5 p.m. departures: too few flights (50 flights)5p6 p.m. departures: 50% on time (113 flights)506p7 p.m. departures: 54% on time (103 flights)547p
LGA → XNA, share of flights arriving on time, by departure hour. Hours with under 100 flights are greyed out.
82%+ on time76–82%68–76%under 68%too few flights

By airline and hour

DepartsAmerican AirlinesDelta Air Lines
6 a.m.91%—
8 a.m.79%76%
noon74%—
1 p.m.76%—
6 p.m.50%—
7 p.m.54%—

Last flight of the day

On LGA → XNA, each airline's last flight of the day was cancelled 8.0% of the time, against 3.8% for its earlier flights (2.1× as often). It arrived 3+ hours late 1.6% of the time (earlier flights: 2.0%). It matters more than the numbers suggest. Miss an earlier flight and there's another one that evening; miss the last one and you're usually waiting until morning.

AirlineLast departureLast: cancelledLast: 3h+ lateEarlier: cancelledNext morning
American Airlines6:10 p.m.8.1%1.6%3.8%first flight 6:56 a.m.

Last flight = the airline's last scheduled departure on this route that day, on days it flies the route at least twice; past 12 months. Times are typical scheduled times over the latest three months.

If you need to be in XNA tonight, book an earlier flight so there's a backup if it's cancelled.

By month

Each calendar month pooled over 2023–2026. Best: September (87%). Worst: July (65%).

40%70%100%Jan: 75% on time (238 flights)75JanFeb: 77% on time (222 flights)77FebMar: 73% on time (262 flights)73MarApr: 78% on time (275 flights)78AprMay: 74% on time (302 flights)74MayJun: 69% on time (296 flights)69JunJul: 65% on time (299 flights)65JulAug: 76% on time (302 flights)76AugSep: 87% on time (262 flights)87SepOct: 85% on time (277 flights)85OctNov: 79% on time (251 flights)79NovDec: 68% on time (247 flights)68Dec

By day of week

DayFlightsOn timeCancelled
Monday20970%9.1%
Tuesday20772%6.8%
Wednesday20377%1.5%
Thursday19970%3.0%
Friday17478%2.3%
Saturday88——
Sunday18669%5.4%

Why flights were late

Share of delay minutes on flights 15+ minutes late, as reported to BTS by the airlines.

Late inbound plane 43%Air traffic & airport (NAS) 28%Airline (crew, maintenance, ops) 23%Severe weather 6%

Cancellations: weather 27 · air traffic/airport 24 · airline 7

Month by month

40%70%100%Sep 2023Jan 2024Jan 2025Jan 2026Sep 2024: 94% on time, 0.0% cancelledOct 2024: 89% on time, 0.0% cancelledNov 2024: 83% on time, 0.0% cancelledMar 2025: 73% on time, 1.9% cancelledApr 2025: 70% on time, 0.0% cancelledMay 2025: 68% on time, 3.6% cancelledJun 2025: 55% on time, 12.2% cancelledJul 2025: 51% on time, 10.3% cancelledAug 2025: 84% on time, 1.8% cancelledSep 2025: 88% on time, 0.9% cancelledOct 2025: 79% on time, 1.8% cancelledDec 2025: 47% on time, 3.9% cancelledJan 2026: 71% on time, 10.0% cancelledMar 2026: 66% on time, 8.3% cancelledApr 2026: 81% on time, 0.0% cancelledMay 2026: 78% on time, 0.9% cancelledJun 2026: 70% on time, 0.9% cancelledJul 2026: 72% on time, 12.0% cancelledAug 2026: 74% on time, 4.5% cancelled
Share of flights on time, by month (hover a point for cancellations)
LGA → XNA, monthly on-time and cancellation rate.

Flight numbers on this route

Regular flights with at least 120 scheduled trips in the past year. Sorted by departure time.

FlightDepartsFlightsOn timeCancelledTypical arrivalOperated by
DL 54828:15 a.m.33776%3.0%−6 minEndeavor Air
AA 447212:13 p.m.22572%4.9%−11 minRepublic Airways
AA 45546:59 p.m.27957%8.6%+1 minRepublic Airways

Worst days in the past year

DateFlightsOn timeCancelled
Aug 27, 202640%1
Jan 27, 202640%2
Dec 5, 202540%0
Jun 22, 202640%0
Jan 26, 202640%3

Questions

How often are flights from LGA to XNA on time?

73% of 1,266 scheduled flights from New York, NY to Fayetteville, AR arrived within 15 minutes of schedule between September 2025 and August 2026. 4.6% were cancelled.

What is the best time of day to fly LGA to XNA?

Flights scheduled to leave at 6 a.m. were the most reliable (91% on time). The 6 p.m. departures were the least (50%).

Which airline is most on time from LGA to XNA?

Delta Air Lines: 76% of its 348 flights on the route arrived on time. American Airlines: 71%.

What month has the most delays from LGA to XNA?

July (65% on time). The best month is September (87%), over 2023–2026.

Is the last flight of the day from LGA to XNA more likely to be cancelled?

Yes. Each airline's last LGA–XNA flight of the day was cancelled 8.0% of the time over the past year, against 3.8% for its earlier flights. If the last flight is cancelled, the next one is usually the following morning.

Related

Domestic flights by the airlines that report to the U.S. DOT, plus their regional partners. "On time" means arriving less than 15 minutes after schedule; cancelled and diverted flights count as not on time. Past performance is a guide, not a forecast. Method.