ON TIMEBOARD

MFR → DEN on time

Rogue Valley -Medford (Medford, OR) to Denver (Denver, CO). Every scheduled flight, September 2025 to August 2026.

On time
80%
arrived < 15 min late
Cancelled
0.4%
728 flights
Typical arrival
−11 min
median vs schedule
When late
+101 min
average delay
Flights / day
2
1 airline

80% of flights from Medford to Denver arrived on time over the past 12 months. That is about the typical U.S. route. The 5 a.m. departures ran on time 90% of the time; the 1 p.m. ones 62%. 9% of flights arrived more than an hour late or not at all.

How late?

The on-time rate treats a flight 20 minutes late the same as one 5 hours late. Here's the split for MFR → DEN: when a flight was late, it was under 45 minutes late 47% of the time. About 1 in 13 flights landed an hour or more late, and 1 in 36 three hours or more; 0.4% were cancelled outright.

Share of all 728 scheduled flights, past 12 months, by arrival time against schedule.

By airline

AirlineFlightsOn timeCancelledTypical arrival1h+ lateAvg when lateOperated by
United Airlines72880%0.4%−11 min7.4%+101 minUnited Airlines 79%, SkyWest 21%

Airline = the name on the ticket. Regional flights (e.g. "Delta Connection") count under the ticketing airline, and the operator is listed.

Best time of day to fly

On-time rate by scheduled departure hour (local time at MFR). Delays build through the day as late planes knock on, so early flights usually do best.

40%70%100%5 a.m. departures: 90% on time (364 flights)905a6 a.m. departures: too few flights6a7 a.m. departures: too few flights7a8 a.m. departures: too few flights (1 flights)8a9 a.m. departures: too few flights9a10 a.m. departures: too few flights10a11 a.m. departures: too few flights11anoon departures: 77% on time (206 flights)7712p1 p.m. departures: 62% on time (157 flights)621p
MFR → DEN, share of flights arriving on time, by departure hour. Hours with under 100 flights are greyed out.
82%+ on time76–82%68–76%under 68%too few flights

Last flight of the day

On MFR → DEN, each airline's last flight of the day was cancelled 0.3% of the time, against 0.5% for its earlier flights, so here the last flight is actually the safer one. It arrived 3+ hours late 2.8% of the time (earlier flights: 2.8%). It matters more than the numbers suggest. Miss an earlier flight and there's another one that evening; miss the last one and you're usually waiting until morning.

AirlineLast departureLast: cancelledLast: 3h+ lateEarlier: cancelledNext morning
United Airlines1:10 p.m.0.3%2.8%0.5%first flight 5:00 a.m.

Last flight = the airline's last scheduled departure on this route that day, on days it flies the route at least twice; past 12 months. Times are typical scheduled times over the latest three months.

By month

Each calendar month pooled over 2023–2026. Best: March (90%). Worst: December (75%).

40%70%100%Jan: 77% on time (187 flights)77JanFeb: 87% on time (170 flights)87FebMar: 90% on time (186 flights)90MarApr: 86% on time (180 flights)86AprMay: 80% on time (186 flights)80MayJun: 86% on time (180 flights)86JunJul: 77% on time (185 flights)77JulAug: 84% on time (186 flights)84AugSep: 89% on time (180 flights)89SepOct: 87% on time (186 flights)87OctNov: 85% on time (177 flights)85NovDec: 75% on time (186 flights)75Dec

By day of week

DayFlightsOn timeCancelled
Monday10678%0.0%
Tuesday10481%1.0%
Wednesday10481%0.0%
Thursday10380%0.0%
Friday10483%0.0%
Saturday10377%1.0%
Sunday10483%1.0%

Why flights were late

Share of delay minutes on flights 15+ minutes late, as reported to BTS by the airlines.

Airline (crew, maintenance, ops) 54%Late inbound plane 18%Air traffic & airport (NAS) 17%Severe weather 11%

Cancellations: airline 2 · weather 1

Month by month

Not enough months with data to draw a trend.

Flight numbers on this route

Regular flights with at least 120 scheduled trips in the past year. Sorted by departure time.

FlightDepartsFlightsOn timeCancelledTypical arrivalOperated by
UA 21855:00 a.m.32790%0.6%−13 minUnited Airlines
UA 14121:10 p.m.15567%0.0%−5 minUnited Airlines

Questions

How often are flights from MFR to DEN on time?

80% of 728 scheduled flights from Medford, OR to Denver, CO arrived within 15 minutes of schedule between September 2025 and August 2026. 0.4% were cancelled.

What is the best time of day to fly MFR to DEN?

Flights scheduled to leave at 5 a.m. were the most reliable (90% on time). The 1 p.m. departures were the least (62%).

What month has the most delays from MFR to DEN?

December (75% on time). The best month is March (90%), over 2023–2026.

Is the last flight of the day from MFR to DEN more likely to be cancelled?

No, the opposite. Each airline's last MFR–DEN flight of the day was cancelled 0.3% of the time over the past year, against 0.5% for its earlier flights. If the last flight is cancelled, the next one is usually the following morning.

Related

Domestic flights by the airlines that report to the U.S. DOT, plus their regional partners. "On time" means arriving less than 15 minutes after schedule; cancelled and diverted flights count as not on time. Past performance is a guide, not a forecast. Method.