ON TIMEBOARD

MSP → TYS on time

Minneapolis-St. Paul (Minneapolis, MN) to McGhee Tyson (Knoxville, TN). Every scheduled flight, September 2025 to August 2026.

On time
68%
arrived < 15 min late
Cancelled
1.0%
487 flights
Typical arrival
−2 min
median vs schedule
When late
+82 min
average delay
Flights / day
1
1 airline

68% of flights from Minneapolis to Knoxville arrived on time over the past 12 months. That is worse than the typical U.S. route. The 1 p.m. departures ran on time 70% of the time; the 7 p.m. ones 66%. 15% of flights arrived more than an hour late or not at all.

How late?

The on-time rate treats a flight 20 minutes late the same as one 5 hours late. Here's the split for MSP → TYS: when a flight was late, it was under 45 minutes late 45% of the time. About 1 in 7 flights landed an hour or more late, and 1 in 44 three hours or more; 1.0% were cancelled outright.

Share of all 487 scheduled flights, past 12 months, by arrival time against schedule.

By airline

AirlineFlightsOn timeCancelledTypical arrival1h+ lateAvg when lateOperated by
Delta Air Lines48768%1.0%−2 min13.8%+82 minEndeavor Air 100%, Delta Air Lines 0%

Airline = the name on the ticket. Regional flights (e.g. "Delta Connection") count under the ticketing airline, and the operator is listed.

Best time of day to fly

On-time rate by scheduled departure hour (local time at MSP). Delays build through the day as late planes knock on, so early flights usually do best.

40%70%100%1 p.m. departures: 70% on time (123 flights)701p2 p.m. departures: too few flights2p3 p.m. departures: too few flights (12 flights)3p4 p.m. departures: too few flights4p5 p.m. departures: too few flights5p6 p.m. departures: too few flights6p7 p.m. departures: 66% on time (322 flights)667p8 p.m. departures: too few flights (30 flights)8p
MSP → TYS, share of flights arriving on time, by departure hour. Hours with under 100 flights are greyed out.
82%+ on time76–82%68–76%under 68%too few flights

Last flight of the day

On MSP → TYS, each airline's last flight of the day was cancelled 0.8% of the time, against 0.8% for its earlier flights, about the same. It arrived 3+ hours late 1.6% of the time (earlier flights: 3.3%). It matters more than the numbers suggest. Miss an earlier flight and there's another one that evening; miss the last one and you're usually waiting until morning.

AirlineLast departureLast: cancelledLast: 3h+ lateEarlier: cancelledNext morning
Delta Air Lines7:45 p.m.0.8%1.6%0.8%first flight 1:28 p.m.

Last flight = the airline's last scheduled departure on this route that day, on days it flies the route at least twice; past 12 months. Times are typical scheduled times over the latest three months.

By month

Each calendar month pooled over 2023–2026. Best: August (74%). Worst: June (60%).

40%70%100%Jan: too few flights (57 flights)JanFeb: too few flights (50 flights)FebMar: too few flights (57 flights)MarApr: too few flights (56 flights)AprMay: too few flights (67 flights)MayJun: 60% on time (140 flights)60JunJul: 60% on time (160 flights)60JulAug: 74% on time (152 flights)74AugSep: too few flights (77 flights)SepOct: too few flights (79 flights)OctNov: too few flights (71 flights)NovDec: too few flights (60 flights)Dec

By day of week

DayFlightsOn timeCancelled
Monday79——
Tuesday65——
Wednesday65——
Thursday75——
Friday74——
Saturday52——
Sunday77——

Why flights were late

Share of delay minutes on flights 15+ minutes late, as reported to BTS by the airlines.

Airline (crew, maintenance, ops) 39%Late inbound plane 36%Air traffic & airport (NAS) 19%Severe weather 6%

Cancellations: airline 2 · air traffic/airport 2 · weather 1

Month by month

Not enough months with data to draw a trend.

Flight numbers on this route

Regular flights with at least 120 scheduled trips in the past year. Sorted by departure time.

FlightDepartsFlightsOn timeCancelledTypical arrivalOperated by
DL 53351:28 p.m.13270%0.8%0 minEndeavor Air
DL 55277:45 p.m.35467%1.1%−4 minEndeavor Air

Questions

How often are flights from MSP to TYS on time?

68% of 487 scheduled flights from Minneapolis, MN to Knoxville, TN arrived within 15 minutes of schedule between September 2025 and August 2026. 1.0% were cancelled.

What is the best time of day to fly MSP to TYS?

Flights scheduled to leave at 1 p.m. were the most reliable (70% on time). The 7 p.m. departures were the least (66%).

What month has the most delays from MSP to TYS?

June (60% on time). The best month is August (74%), over 2023–2026.

Is the last flight of the day from MSP to TYS more likely to be cancelled?

Not much. Each airline's last MSP–TYS flight of the day was cancelled 0.8% of the time over the past year, against 0.8% for its earlier flights. If the last flight is cancelled, the next one is usually the following morning.

Related

Domestic flights by the airlines that report to the U.S. DOT, plus their regional partners. "On time" means arriving less than 15 minutes after schedule; cancelled and diverted flights count as not on time. Past performance is a guide, not a forecast. Method.