ON TIMEBOARD

ORD → CAE on time

Chicago O'Hare (Chicago, IL) to Columbia Metropolitan (Columbia, SC). Every scheduled flight, September 2025 to August 2026.

On time
67%
arrived < 15 min late
Cancelled
3.1%
1,301 flights
Typical arrival
−3 min
median vs schedule
When late
+77 min
average delay
Flights / day
4
2 airlines

67% of flights from Chicago to Columbia arrived on time over the past 12 months. That is worse than the typical U.S. route. The 7 a.m. departures ran on time 84% of the time; the 5 p.m. ones 51%. Most reliable airline: American Airlines (72%). 16% of flights arrived more than an hour late or not at all.

How late?

The on-time rate treats a flight 20 minutes late the same as one 5 hours late. Here's the split for ORD → CAE: when a flight was late, it was under 45 minutes late 48% of the time. About 1 in 8 flights landed an hour or more late, and 1 in 43 three hours or more; 3.2% were cancelled outright.

Share of all 1,301 scheduled flights, past 12 months, by arrival time against schedule.

By airline

AirlineFlightsOn timeCancelledTypical arrival1h+ lateAvg when lateOperated by
United Airlines1,09966%3.0%−3 min12.7%+79 minGoJet 64%, SkyWest 36%
American Airlines20272%4.0%−9 min11.4%+70 minEnvoy

Airline = the name on the ticket. Regional flights (e.g. "Delta Connection") count under the ticketing airline, and the operator is listed.

Best time of day to fly

On-time rate by scheduled departure hour (local time at ORD). Delays build through the day as late planes knock on, so early flights usually do best.

40%70%100%6 a.m. departures: too few flights (60 flights)6a7 a.m. departures: 84% on time (122 flights)847a8 a.m. departures: too few flights8a9 a.m. departures: too few flights9a10 a.m. departures: 67% on time (190 flights)6710a11 a.m. departures: too few flights (77 flights)11anoon departures: too few flights12p1 p.m. departures: 72% on time (378 flights)721p2 p.m. departures: too few flights (5 flights)2p3 p.m. departures: too few flights3p4 p.m. departures: too few flights4p5 p.m. departures: 51% on time (151 flights)515p6 p.m. departures: 56% on time (195 flights)566p7 p.m. departures: too few flights (38 flights)7p8 p.m. departures: too few flights (65 flights)8p
ORD → CAE, share of flights arriving on time, by departure hour. Hours with under 100 flights are greyed out.
82%+ on time76–82%68–76%under 68%too few flights

By airline and hour

DepartsUnited Airlines
7 a.m.84%
10 a.m.67%
1 p.m.72%
5 p.m.51%
6 p.m.56%

Last flight of the day

On ORD → CAE, each airline's last flight of the day was cancelled 4.1% of the time, against 2.6% for its earlier flights (1.6× as often). It arrived 3+ hours late 3.0% of the time (earlier flights: 2.0%). It matters more than the numbers suggest. Miss an earlier flight and there's another one that evening; miss the last one and you're usually waiting until morning.

AirlineLast departureLast: cancelledLast: 3h+ lateEarlier: cancelledNext morning
United Airlines5:55 p.m.3.3%3.6%2.9%first flight 7:10 a.m.

Last flight = the airline's last scheduled departure on this route that day, on days it flies the route at least twice; past 12 months. Times are typical scheduled times over the latest three months.

If you need to be in CAE tonight, book an earlier flight so there's a backup if it's cancelled.

By month

Each calendar month pooled over 2023–2026. Best: September (84%). Worst: January (59%).

40%70%100%Jan: 59% on time (229 flights)59JanFeb: 70% on time (202 flights)70FebMar: 76% on time (243 flights)76MarApr: 75% on time (268 flights)75AprMay: 66% on time (290 flights)66MayJun: 70% on time (300 flights)70JunJul: 64% on time (308 flights)64JulAug: 70% on time (306 flights)70AugSep: 84% on time (262 flights)84SepOct: 82% on time (300 flights)82OctNov: 77% on time (269 flights)77NovDec: 73% on time (251 flights)73Dec

By day of week

DayFlightsOn timeCancelled
Monday19266%4.7%
Tuesday18175%1.7%
Wednesday18266%4.4%
Thursday19066%4.2%
Friday19166%1.6%
Saturday17571%4.0%
Sunday19062%1.6%

Why flights were late

Share of delay minutes on flights 15+ minutes late, as reported to BTS by the airlines.

Late inbound plane 51%Airline (crew, maintenance, ops) 26%Air traffic & airport (NAS) 17%Severe weather 5%

Cancellations: weather 30 · air traffic/airport 11

Month by month

50%75%100%Sep 2023Jan 2024Jan 2025Jan 2026Oct 2025: 72% on time, 0.0% cancelledApr 2026: 64% on time, 4.2% cancelledMay 2026: 68% on time, 0.7% cancelledJun 2026: 74% on time, 6.0% cancelledJul 2026: 74% on time, 3.2% cancelledAug 2026: 64% on time, 2.0% cancelled
Share of flights on time, by month (hover a point for cancellations)
ORD → CAE, monthly on-time and cancellation rate.

Worst days in the past year

DateFlightsOn timeCancelled
Aug 12, 202650%1
Jul 27, 202650%3
Nov 30, 202540%1
Apr 1, 202640%0
Apr 2, 202640%3

Questions

How often are flights from ORD to CAE on time?

67% of 1,301 scheduled flights from Chicago, IL to Columbia, SC arrived within 15 minutes of schedule between September 2025 and August 2026. 3.1% were cancelled.

What is the best time of day to fly ORD to CAE?

Flights scheduled to leave at 7 a.m. were the most reliable (84% on time). The 5 p.m. departures were the least (51%).

Which airline is most on time from ORD to CAE?

American Airlines: 72% of its 202 flights on the route arrived on time. United Airlines: 66%.

What month has the most delays from ORD to CAE?

January (59% on time). The best month is September (84%), over 2023–2026.

Is the last flight of the day from ORD to CAE more likely to be cancelled?

Yes. Each airline's last ORD–CAE flight of the day was cancelled 4.1% of the time over the past year, against 2.6% for its earlier flights. If the last flight is cancelled, the next one is usually the following morning.

Related

Domestic flights by the airlines that report to the U.S. DOT, plus their regional partners. "On time" means arriving less than 15 minutes after schedule; cancelled and diverted flights count as not on time. Past performance is a guide, not a forecast. Method.