73% of flights from Chicago to Santa Ana arrived on time over the past 12 months. That is worse than the typical U.S. route. The 8 a.m. departures ran on time 82% of the time; the 6 p.m. ones 68%. Most reliable airline: United Airlines (75%). 8% of flights arrived more than an hour late or not at all.
How late?
The on-time rate treats a flight 20 minutes late the same as one 5 hours late. Here's the split for ORD → SNA: when a flight was late, it was under 45 minutes late 62% of the time. About 1 in 15 flights landed an hour or more late, and 1 in 98 three hours or more; 1.0% were cancelled outright.
- On time or early73%
- 15–30 min late11%
- 30–60 min late7.2%
- 1–2 hours late4.4%
- 2–3 hours late1.2%
- 3+ hours late1.0%
- Diverted0.7%
- Cancelled1.0%
Share of all 2,164 scheduled flights, past 12 months, by arrival time against schedule.
By airline
| Airline | Flights | On time | Cancelled | Typical arrival | 1h+ late | Avg when late | Operated by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| American Airlines | 1,123 | 72% | 1.7% | −4 min | 8.1% | +63 min | American Airlines |
| United Airlines | 1,041 | 75% | 0.3% | −3 min | 5.2% | +49 min | United Airlines |
Airline = the name on the ticket. Regional flights (e.g. "Delta Connection") count under the ticketing airline, and the operator is listed.
Best time of day to fly
On-time rate by scheduled departure hour (local time at ORD). Delays build through the day as late planes knock on, so early flights usually do best.
By airline and hour
| Departs | American Airlines | United Airlines |
|---|---|---|
| 8 a.m. | 82% | 83% |
| 9 a.m. | — | 75% |
| 11 a.m. | 69% | — |
| 4 p.m. | — | 68% |
| 6 p.m. | 68% | — |
| 7 p.m. | — | 76% |
Last flight of the day
On ORD → SNA, each airline's last flight of the day was cancelled 1.7% of the time, against 0.7% for its earlier flights (2.4× as often). It arrived 3+ hours late 0.4% of the time (earlier flights: 1.5%). It matters more than the numbers suggest. Miss an earlier flight and there's another one that evening; miss the last one and you're usually waiting until morning.
| Airline | Last departure | Last: cancelled | Last: 3h+ late | Earlier: cancelled | Next morning |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| American Airlines | 5:05 p.m. | 2.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | first flight 8:14 a.m. |
| United Airlines | 7:45 p.m. | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | first flight 8:40 a.m. |
Last flight = the airline's last scheduled departure on this route that day, on days it flies the route at least twice; past 12 months. Times are typical scheduled times over the latest three months.
If you need to be in SNA tonight, book an earlier flight so there's a backup if it's cancelled.
By month
Each calendar month pooled over 2023–2026. Best: December (83%). Worst: August (72%).
By day of week
| Day | Flights | On time | Cancelled |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monday | 327 | 67% | 1.5% |
| Tuesday | 316 | 82% | 0.6% |
| Wednesday | 312 | 74% | 0.3% |
| Thursday | 315 | 76% | 1.3% |
| Friday | 320 | 73% | 0.3% |
| Saturday | 255 | 72% | 0.8% |
| Sunday | 319 | 71% | 2.2% |
Why flights were late
Share of delay minutes on flights 15+ minutes late, as reported to BTS by the airlines.
Cancellations: weather 16 · air traffic/airport 4 · airline 2
Month by month
Flight numbers on this route
Regular flights with at least 120 scheduled trips in the past year. Sorted by departure time.
| Flight | Departs | Flights | On time | Cancelled | Typical arrival | Operated by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UA 1304 | 8:40 a.m. | 222 | 78% | 0.0% | −5 min | United Airlines |
| UA 1317 | 4:05 p.m. | 186 | 68% | 0.5% | −2 min | United Airlines |
| AA 1179 | 6:54 p.m. | 284 | 69% | 2.8% | −2 min | American Airlines |
| UA 308 | 7:45 p.m. | 226 | 77% | 0.9% | −6 min | United Airlines |
Worst days in the past year
| Date | Flights | On time | Cancelled |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2026 | 6 | 0% | 0 |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 6 | 0% | 0 |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 5 | 0% | 2 |
| Oct 12, 2025 | 7 | 14% | 0 |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 6 | 17% | 0 |
Nearby airport alternatives
Other ways to make the same trip, using airports within 60 miles of Chicago or Santa Ana. None has been clearly more reliable than ORD → SNA.
| Route | Flights | On time | Cancelled |
|---|---|---|---|
| ORD → SNA (this route) | 2,164 | 73% | 1.0% |
| ORD → LAX Chicago O'Hare to Los Angeles LAX | 7,121 | 71% | 1.3% |
| MDW → LAX Chicago Midway to Los Angeles LAX | 1,296 | 67% | 0.9% |
Questions
How often are flights from ORD to SNA on time?
73% of 2,164 scheduled flights from Chicago, IL to Santa Ana, CA arrived within 15 minutes of schedule between September 2025 and August 2026. 1.0% were cancelled.
What is the best time of day to fly ORD to SNA?
Flights scheduled to leave at 8 a.m. were the most reliable (82% on time). The 6 p.m. departures were the least (68%).
Which airline is most on time from ORD to SNA?
United Airlines: 75% of its 1,041 flights on the route arrived on time. American Airlines: 72%.
What month has the most delays from ORD to SNA?
August (72% on time). The best month is December (83%), over 2023–2026.
Is the last flight of the day from ORD to SNA more likely to be cancelled?
Yes. Each airline's last ORD–SNA flight of the day was cancelled 1.7% of the time over the past year, against 0.7% for its earlier flights. If the last flight is cancelled, the next one is usually the following morning.
Related
- SNA → ORD (return)
- Chicago O'Hare (ORD) delays by hour
- Flights into Orange County John Wayne (SNA)
- American Airlines on-time record
- United Airlines on-time record
- Connecting off this flight? Check the risk
Domestic flights by the airlines that report to the U.S. DOT, plus their regional partners. "On time" means arriving less than 15 minutes after schedule; cancelled and diverted flights count as not on time. Past performance is a guide, not a forecast. Method.