ON TIMEBOARD

ORD → SPI on time

Chicago O'Hare (Chicago, IL) to Abraham Lincoln Capital (Springfield, IL). Every scheduled flight, September 2025 to August 2026.

On time
72%
arrived < 15 min late
Cancelled
3.2%
710 flights
Typical arrival
−7 min
median vs schedule
When late
+78 min
average delay
Flights / day
2
1 airline

72% of flights from Chicago to Springfield arrived on time over the past 12 months. That is worse than the typical U.S. route. The 1 p.m. departures ran on time 76% of the time; the 10 p.m. ones 68%. 13% of flights arrived more than an hour late or not at all.

How late?

The on-time rate treats a flight 20 minutes late the same as one 5 hours late. Here's the split for ORD → SPI: when a flight was late, it was under 45 minutes late 46% of the time. About 1 in 10 flights landed an hour or more late, and 1 in 51 three hours or more; 3.2% were cancelled outright.

Share of all 710 scheduled flights, past 12 months, by arrival time against schedule.

By airline

AirlineFlightsOn timeCancelledTypical arrival1h+ lateAvg when lateOperated by
American Airlines71072%3.2%−7 min9.9%+78 minEnvoy 95%, SkyWest 5%

Airline = the name on the ticket. Regional flights (e.g. "Delta Connection") count under the ticketing airline, and the operator is listed.

Best time of day to fly

On-time rate by scheduled departure hour (local time at ORD). Delays build through the day as late planes knock on, so early flights usually do best.

40%70%100%11 a.m. departures: too few flights (33 flights)11anoon departures: too few flights (73 flights)12p1 p.m. departures: 76% on time (168 flights)761p2 p.m. departures: too few flights (1 flights)2p3 p.m. departures: too few flights (4 flights)3p4 p.m. departures: too few flights (83 flights)4p5 p.m. departures: too few flights (17 flights)5p6 p.m. departures: too few flights (12 flights)6p7 p.m. departures: too few flights (2 flights)7p8 p.m. departures: too few flights (1 flights)8p9 p.m. departures: too few flights (36 flights)9p10 p.m. departures: 68% on time (189 flights)6810p11 p.m. departures: too few flights (91 flights)11p
ORD → SPI, share of flights arriving on time, by departure hour. Hours with under 100 flights are greyed out.
82%+ on time76–82%68–76%under 68%too few flights

Last flight of the day

On ORD → SPI, each airline's last flight of the day was cancelled 4.6% of the time, against 2.0% for its earlier flights (2.3× as often). It arrived 3+ hours late 2.0% of the time (earlier flights: 2.0%). It matters more than the numbers suggest. Miss an earlier flight and there's another one that evening; miss the last one and you're usually waiting until morning.

AirlineLast departureLast: cancelledLast: 3h+ lateEarlier: cancelledNext morning
American Airlines11:00 p.m.4.6%2.0%2.0%first flight 1:14 p.m.

Last flight = the airline's last scheduled departure on this route that day, on days it flies the route at least twice; past 12 months. Times are typical scheduled times over the latest three months.

If you need to be in SPI tonight, book an earlier flight so there's a backup if it's cancelled.

By month

Each calendar month pooled over 2023–2026. Best: October (86%). Worst: January (58%).

40%70%100%Jan: 58% on time (169 flights)58JanFeb: 74% on time (156 flights)74FebMar: 75% on time (178 flights)75MarApr: 79% on time (174 flights)79AprMay: 83% on time (185 flights)83MayJun: 72% on time (166 flights)72JunJul: 69% on time (167 flights)69JulAug: 71% on time (180 flights)71AugSep: 80% on time (157 flights)80SepOct: 86% on time (160 flights)86OctNov: 79% on time (146 flights)79NovDec: 74% on time (156 flights)74Dec

By day of week

DayFlightsOn timeCancelled
Monday10674%4.7%
Tuesday10477%3.9%
Wednesday10171%2.0%
Thursday10167%2.0%
Friday10469%1.9%
Saturday90——
Sunday10469%3.9%

Why flights were late

Share of delay minutes on flights 15+ minutes late, as reported to BTS by the airlines.

Late inbound plane 49%Air traffic & airport (NAS) 19%Airline (crew, maintenance, ops) 17%Severe weather 15%

Cancellations: weather 12 · air traffic/airport 11

Month by month

Not enough months with data to draw a trend.

Flight numbers on this route

Regular flights with at least 120 scheduled trips in the past year. Sorted by departure time.

FlightDepartsFlightsOn timeCancelledTypical arrivalOperated by
AA 43301:09 p.m.16278%1.8%−11 minEnvoy
AA 433111:00 p.m.24266%5.0%−2 minEnvoy

Nearby airport alternatives

Other ways to make the same trip, using airports within 60 miles of Chicago or Springfield. None has been clearly more reliable than ORD → SPI.

RouteFlightsOn timeCancelled
ORD → SPI (this route)71072%3.2%
ORD → BMI Chicago O'Hare to Central Illinois at Bloomington-Normal87974%3.9%
ORD → PIA Chicago O'Hare to General Wayne A. Downing Peoria2,90166%4.2%

Questions

How often are flights from ORD to SPI on time?

72% of 710 scheduled flights from Chicago, IL to Springfield, IL arrived within 15 minutes of schedule between September 2025 and August 2026. 3.2% were cancelled.

What is the best time of day to fly ORD to SPI?

Flights scheduled to leave at 1 p.m. were the most reliable (76% on time). The 10 p.m. departures were the least (68%).

What month has the most delays from ORD to SPI?

January (58% on time). The best month is October (86%), over 2023–2026.

Is the last flight of the day from ORD to SPI more likely to be cancelled?

Yes. Each airline's last ORD–SPI flight of the day was cancelled 4.6% of the time over the past year, against 2.0% for its earlier flights. If the last flight is cancelled, the next one is usually the following morning.

Related

Domestic flights by the airlines that report to the U.S. DOT, plus their regional partners. "On time" means arriving less than 15 minutes after schedule; cancelled and diverted flights count as not on time. Past performance is a guide, not a forecast. Method.