ON TIMEBOARD

PVD → ORD on time

Rhode Island T. F. Green (Providence, RI) to Chicago O'Hare (Chicago, IL). Every scheduled flight, September 2025 to August 2026.

On time
71%
arrived < 15 min late
Cancelled
4.0%
1,727 flights
Typical arrival
−6 min
median vs schedule
When late
+95 min
average delay
Flights / day
5
2 airlines

71% of flights from Providence to Chicago arrived on time over the past 12 months. That is worse than the typical U.S. route. The 6 a.m. departures ran on time 85% of the time; the 5 p.m. ones 58%. Most reliable airline: United Airlines (75%). 14% of flights arrived more than an hour late or not at all.

How late?

The on-time rate treats a flight 20 minutes late the same as one 5 hours late. Here's the split for PVD → ORD: when a flight was late, it was under 45 minutes late 46% of the time. About 1 in 10 flights landed an hour or more late, and 1 in 45 three hours or more; 4.1% were cancelled outright.

Share of all 1,727 scheduled flights, past 12 months, by arrival time against schedule.

By airline

AirlineFlightsOn timeCancelledTypical arrival1h+ lateAvg when lateOperated by
American Airlines98769%4.5%−6 min12.5%+109 minAmerican Airlines 44%, Envoy 33%, SkyWest 18%, Republic Airways 5%
United Airlines74075%3.5%−5 min6.8%+73 minSkyWest 77%, United Airlines 16%, Republic Airways 6%

Airline = the name on the ticket. Regional flights (e.g. "Delta Connection") count under the ticketing airline, and the operator is listed.

Best time of day to fly

On-time rate by scheduled departure hour (local time at PVD). Delays build through the day as late planes knock on, so early flights usually do best.

40%70%100%5 a.m. departures: too few flights (34 flights)5a6 a.m. departures: 85% on time (315 flights)856a7 a.m. departures: 78% on time (279 flights)787a8 a.m. departures: too few flights (31 flights)8a9 a.m. departures: too few flights (70 flights)9a10 a.m. departures: too few flights10a11 a.m. departures: too few flights (72 flights)11anoon departures: too few flights (58 flights)12p1 p.m. departures: 77% on time (161 flights)771p2 p.m. departures: too few flights (9 flights)2p3 p.m. departures: too few flights (7 flights)3p4 p.m. departures: 67% on time (259 flights)674p5 p.m. departures: 58% on time (350 flights)585p6 p.m. departures: too few flights (18 flights)6p7 p.m. departures: too few flights (64 flights)7p
PVD → ORD, share of flights arriving on time, by departure hour. Hours with under 100 flights are greyed out.
82%+ on time76–82%68–76%under 68%too few flights

By airline and hour

DepartsAmerican AirlinesUnited Airlines
6 a.m.—86%
7 a.m.78%—
1 p.m.77%—
4 p.m.—67%
5 p.m.55%—

Last flight of the day

On PVD → ORD, each airline's last flight of the day was cancelled 5.4% of the time, against 3.2% for its earlier flights (1.7× as often). It arrived 3+ hours late 2.3% of the time (earlier flights: 2.3%). It matters more than the numbers suggest. Miss an earlier flight and there's another one that evening; miss the last one and you're usually waiting until morning.

AirlineLast departureLast: cancelledLast: 3h+ lateEarlier: cancelledNext morning
American Airlines5:41 p.m.6.1%2.5%3.5%first flight 7:06 a.m.
United Airlines5:00 p.m.4.7%2.0%2.7%first flight 6:00 a.m.

Last flight = the airline's last scheduled departure on this route that day, on days it flies the route at least twice; past 12 months. Times are typical scheduled times over the latest three months.

If you need to be in ORD tonight, book an earlier flight so there's a backup if it's cancelled.

By month

Each calendar month pooled over 2023–2026. Best: April (83%). Worst: August (67%).

40%70%100%Jan: 73% on time (232 flights)73JanFeb: 73% on time (229 flights)73FebMar: 78% on time (271 flights)78MarApr: 83% on time (376 flights)83AprMay: 82% on time (447 flights)82MayJun: 72% on time (389 flights)72JunJul: 70% on time (393 flights)70JulAug: 67% on time (388 flights)67AugSep: 78% on time (344 flights)78SepOct: 82% on time (384 flights)82OctNov: 80% on time (328 flights)80NovDec: 73% on time (260 flights)73Dec

By day of week

DayFlightsOn timeCancelled
Monday25769%7.8%
Tuesday23970%6.7%
Wednesday24777%2.0%
Thursday24976%2.0%
Friday25272%2.4%
Saturday23072%3.0%
Sunday25364%4.3%

Why flights were late

Share of delay minutes on flights 15+ minutes late, as reported to BTS by the airlines.

Airline (crew, maintenance, ops) 40%Air traffic & airport (NAS) 30%Late inbound plane 22%Severe weather 7%

Cancellations: weather 51 · air traffic/airport 14 · airline 5

Month by month

50%75%100%Sep 2023Jan 2024Jan 2025Jan 2026Sep 2023: 82% on time, 0.9% cancelledOct 2023: 90% on time, 0.0% cancelledApr 2024: 88% on time, 0.0% cancelledMay 2024: 81% on time, 2.6% cancelledJun 2024: 66% on time, 0.8% cancelledJul 2024: 66% on time, 0.8% cancelledAug 2024: 69% on time, 0.8% cancelledSep 2024: 84% on time, 0.0% cancelledOct 2024: 92% on time, 0.0% cancelledNov 2024: 88% on time, 0.0% cancelledApr 2025: 85% on time, 0.0% cancelledMay 2025: 81% on time, 0.0% cancelledJun 2025: 71% on time, 0.8% cancelledJul 2025: 66% on time, 3.4% cancelledAug 2025: 69% on time, 3.5% cancelledSep 2025: 69% on time, 0.8% cancelledOct 2025: 66% on time, 0.0% cancelledNov 2025: 70% on time, 4.9% cancelledDec 2025: 63% on time, 3.0% cancelledJan 2026: 64% on time, 6.5% cancelledFeb 2026: 69% on time, 10.1% cancelledMar 2026: 69% on time, 5.2% cancelledApr 2026: 78% on time, 2.0% cancelledMay 2026: 83% on time, 0.0% cancelledJun 2026: 77% on time, 6.9% cancelledJul 2026: 77% on time, 8.6% cancelledAug 2026: 64% on time, 1.9% cancelled
Share of flights on time, by month (hover a point for cancellations)
PVD → ORD, monthly on-time and cancellation rate.

Flight numbers on this route

Regular flights with at least 120 scheduled trips in the past year. Sorted by departure time.

FlightDepartsFlightsOn timeCancelledTypical arrivalOperated by
AA 3607:08 a.m.16476%4.3%−7 minAmerican Airlines

Worst days in the past year

DateFlightsOn timeCancelled
Dec 3, 202550%0
Mar 13, 202650%0
Mar 16, 202650%3
Jun 14, 202650%1
Nov 30, 202550%4

Nearby airport alternatives

Other ways to make the same trip, using airports within 60 miles of Providence or Chicago. PVD → MDW has been 10 points more reliable.

RouteFlightsOn timeCancelled
PVD → ORD (this route)1,72771%4.0%
PVD → MDW Rhode Island T. F. Green to Chicago Midway77881%1.4%
BOS → ORD Boston Logan to Chicago O'Hare7,86069%3.0%
BOS → MDW Boston Logan to Chicago Midway1,36868%2.0%

Questions

How often are flights from PVD to ORD on time?

71% of 1,727 scheduled flights from Providence, RI to Chicago, IL arrived within 15 minutes of schedule between September 2025 and August 2026. 4.0% were cancelled.

What is the best time of day to fly PVD to ORD?

Flights scheduled to leave at 6 a.m. were the most reliable (85% on time). The 5 p.m. departures were the least (58%).

Which airline is most on time from PVD to ORD?

United Airlines: 75% of its 740 flights on the route arrived on time. American Airlines: 69%.

What month has the most delays from PVD to ORD?

August (67% on time). The best month is April (83%), over 2023–2026.

Is the last flight of the day from PVD to ORD more likely to be cancelled?

Yes. Each airline's last PVD–ORD flight of the day was cancelled 5.4% of the time over the past year, against 3.2% for its earlier flights. If the last flight is cancelled, the next one is usually the following morning.

Related

Domestic flights by the airlines that report to the U.S. DOT, plus their regional partners. "On time" means arriving less than 15 minutes after schedule; cancelled and diverted flights count as not on time. Past performance is a guide, not a forecast. Method.