ON TIMEBOARD

SEA → DTW on time

Seattle-Tacoma (Seattle, WA) to Detroit Metro (Detroit, MI). Every scheduled flight, September 2025 to August 2026.

On time
86%
arrived < 15 min late
Cancelled
0.7%
2,063 flights
Typical arrival
−9 min
median vs schedule
When late
+65 min
average delay
Flights / day
6
2 airlines

86% of flights from Seattle to Detroit arrived on time over the past 12 months. That is better than the typical U.S. route. The 6 a.m. departures ran on time 93% of the time; the 1 p.m. ones 77%. Most reliable airline: Delta Air Lines (86%). 5% of flights arrived more than an hour late or not at all.

How late?

The on-time rate treats a flight 20 minutes late the same as one 5 hours late. Here's the split for SEA → DTW: when a flight was late, it was under 45 minutes late 59% of the time. About 1 in 25 flights landed an hour or more late, and 1 in 159 three hours or more; 0.7% were cancelled outright.

Share of all 2,063 scheduled flights, past 12 months, by arrival time against schedule.

By airline

AirlineFlightsOn timeCancelledTypical arrival1h+ lateAvg when lateOperated by
Delta Air Lines1,51586%0.9%−9 min3.9%+71 minDelta Air Lines
Alaska Airlines54885%0.2%−9 min4.4%+51 minAlaska Airlines

Airline = the name on the ticket. Regional flights (e.g. "Delta Connection") count under the ticketing airline, and the operator is listed.

Best time of day to fly

On-time rate by scheduled departure hour (local time at SEA). Delays build through the day as late planes knock on, so early flights usually do best.

40%70%100%5 a.m. departures: 87% on time (118 flights)875a6 a.m. departures: 93% on time (247 flights)936a7 a.m. departures: too few flights (1 flights)7a8 a.m. departures: 86% on time (190 flights)868a9 a.m. departures: 85% on time (382 flights)859a10 a.m. departures: too few flights10a11 a.m. departures: 78% on time (211 flights)7811anoon departures: too few flights (31 flights)12p1 p.m. departures: 77% on time (110 flights)771p2 p.m. departures: too few flights (57 flights)2p3 p.m. departures: 88% on time (169 flights)883p4 p.m. departures: too few flights4p5 p.m. departures: too few flights5p6 p.m. departures: too few flights6p7 p.m. departures: too few flights7p8 p.m. departures: too few flights8p9 p.m. departures: too few flights (42 flights)9p10 p.m. departures: 83% on time (160 flights)8310p11 p.m. departures: 89% on time (345 flights)8911p
SEA → DTW, share of flights arriving on time, by departure hour. Hours with under 100 flights are greyed out.
82%+ on time76–82%68–76%under 68%too few flights

By airline and hour

DepartsDelta Air LinesAlaska Airlines
5 a.m.87%—
6 a.m.93%—
8 a.m.—87%
9 a.m.88%83%
11 a.m.78%—
1 p.m.77%—
3 p.m.88%—
10 p.m.—82%
11 p.m.89%—

Last flight of the day

On SEA → DTW, each airline's last flight of the day was cancelled 0.7% of the time, against 0.8% for its earlier flights, about the same. It arrived 3+ hours late 0.5% of the time (earlier flights: 0.8%). It matters more than the numbers suggest. Miss an earlier flight and there's another one that evening; miss the last one and you're usually waiting until morning.

AirlineLast departureLast: cancelledLast: 3h+ lateEarlier: cancelledNext morning
Alaska Airlines10:22 p.m.0.0%0.5%0.5%first flight 9:18 a.m.
Delta Air Lines11:10 p.m.1.1%0.5%0.8%first flight 5:30 a.m.

Last flight = the airline's last scheduled departure on this route that day, on days it flies the route at least twice; past 12 months. Times are typical scheduled times over the latest three months.

By month

Each calendar month pooled over 2023–2026. Best: October (91%). Worst: July (74%).

40%70%100%Jan: 82% on time (386 flights)82JanFeb: 90% on time (353 flights)90FebMar: 89% on time (434 flights)89MarApr: 89% on time (450 flights)89AprMay: 81% on time (594 flights)81MayJun: 84% on time (649 flights)84JunJul: 74% on time (678 flights)74JulAug: 79% on time (654 flights)79AugSep: 86% on time (582 flights)86SepOct: 91% on time (474 flights)91OctNov: 91% on time (446 flights)91NovDec: 86% on time (471 flights)86Dec

By day of week

DayFlightsOn timeCancelled
Monday30486%1.0%
Tuesday29890%0.7%
Wednesday29487%0.7%
Thursday29484%0.3%
Friday30084%0.7%
Saturday27588%0.7%
Sunday29880%0.7%

Why flights were late

Share of delay minutes on flights 15+ minutes late, as reported to BTS by the airlines.

Airline (crew, maintenance, ops) 53%Late inbound plane 30%Air traffic & airport (NAS) 13%Severe weather 3%

Cancellations: airline 12 · weather 2

Month by month

60%80%100%Sep 2023Jan 2024Jan 2025Jan 2026Sep 2023: 89% on time, 0.0% cancelledOct 2023: 87% on time, 0.0% cancelledNov 2023: 93% on time, 0.0% cancelledDec 2023: 91% on time, 0.0% cancelledJan 2024: 76% on time, 5.3% cancelledFeb 2024: 93% on time, 0.0% cancelledMar 2024: 90% on time, 0.0% cancelledApr 2024: 90% on time, 0.7% cancelledMay 2024: 74% on time, 0.0% cancelledJun 2024: 79% on time, 0.0% cancelledJul 2024: 67% on time, 3.9% cancelledAug 2024: 77% on time, 0.4% cancelledSep 2024: 84% on time, 0.0% cancelledOct 2024: 94% on time, 0.0% cancelledNov 2024: 92% on time, 0.0% cancelledDec 2024: 90% on time, 0.0% cancelledJan 2025: 90% on time, 0.0% cancelledFeb 2025: 91% on time, 0.9% cancelledMar 2025: 92% on time, 0.0% cancelledApr 2025: 89% on time, 0.0% cancelledMay 2025: 83% on time, 0.0% cancelledJun 2025: 81% on time, 0.5% cancelledJul 2025: 74% on time, 1.8% cancelledAug 2025: 74% on time, 0.9% cancelledSep 2025: 84% on time, 0.0% cancelledOct 2025: 92% on time, 0.0% cancelledNov 2025: 87% on time, 0.0% cancelledDec 2025: 79% on time, 1.2% cancelledJan 2026: 81% on time, 1.5% cancelledFeb 2026: 86% on time, 0.8% cancelledMar 2026: 86% on time, 3.3% cancelledApr 2026: 88% on time, 0.0% cancelledMay 2026: 85% on time, 0.5% cancelledJun 2026: 91% on time, 0.0% cancelledJul 2026: 81% on time, 1.4% cancelledAug 2026: 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled
Share of flights on time, by month (hover a point for cancellations)
SEA → DTW, monthly on-time and cancellation rate.

Flight numbers on this route

Regular flights with at least 120 scheduled trips in the past year. Sorted by departure time.

FlightDepartsFlightsOn timeCancelledTypical arrivalOperated by
DL 8126:00 a.m.36591%0.5%−13 minDelta Air Lines
AS 3139:18 a.m.36285%0.3%−8 minAlaska Airlines
DL 23249:45 a.m.12788%0.8%−9 minDelta Air Lines
DL 170611:43 a.m.30279%1.3%−4 minDelta Air Lines
DL 5333:15 p.m.32084%0.6%−8 minDelta Air Lines
DL 81011:15 p.m.36189%1.1%−7 minDelta Air Lines

Worst days in the past year

DateFlightsOn timeCancelled
Mar 13, 202650%1
Jul 16, 2026729%0
Dec 28, 2025633%0
Feb 20, 2026540%1
Jan 5, 2026540%0

Questions

How often are flights from SEA to DTW on time?

86% of 2,063 scheduled flights from Seattle, WA to Detroit, MI arrived within 15 minutes of schedule between September 2025 and August 2026. 0.7% were cancelled.

What is the best time of day to fly SEA to DTW?

Flights scheduled to leave at 6 a.m. were the most reliable (93% on time). The 1 p.m. departures were the least (77%).

Which airline is most on time from SEA to DTW?

Delta Air Lines: 86% of its 1,515 flights on the route arrived on time. Alaska Airlines: 85%.

What month has the most delays from SEA to DTW?

July (74% on time). The best month is October (91%), over 2023–2026.

Is the last flight of the day from SEA to DTW more likely to be cancelled?

Not much. Each airline's last SEA–DTW flight of the day was cancelled 0.7% of the time over the past year, against 0.8% for its earlier flights. If the last flight is cancelled, the next one is usually the following morning.

Related

Domestic flights by the airlines that report to the U.S. DOT, plus their regional partners. "On time" means arriving less than 15 minutes after schedule; cancelled and diverted flights count as not on time. Past performance is a guide, not a forecast. Method.