75% of flights from Seattle to Oakland arrived on time over the past 12 months. That is worse than the typical U.S. route. The 6 a.m. departures ran on time 93% of the time; the 7 p.m. ones 57%. Most reliable airline: Alaska Airlines (80%). 7% of flights arrived more than an hour late or not at all.
How late?
The on-time rate treats a flight 20 minutes late the same as one 5 hours late. Here's the split for SEA → OAK: when a flight was late, it was under 45 minutes late 65% of the time. About 1 in 18 flights landed an hour or more late, and 1 in 209 three hours or more; 0.9% were cancelled outright.
- On time or early75%
- 15–30 min late10%
- 30–60 min late8.1%
- 1–2 hours late4.2%
- 2–3 hours late0.9%
- 3+ hours late0.5%
- Diverted0.0%
- Cancelled0.9%
Share of all 2,303 scheduled flights, past 12 months, by arrival time against schedule.
By airline
| Airline | Flights | On time | Cancelled | Typical arrival | 1h+ late | Avg when late | Operated by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaska Airlines | 1,215 | 80% | 1.5% | −5 min | 4.2% | +46 min | Alaska Airlines 65%, Horizon Air 32%, SkyWest 3% |
| Southwest Airlines | 1,088 | 70% | 0.3% | +1 min | 7.2% | +52 min | Southwest Airlines |
Airline = the name on the ticket. Regional flights (e.g. "Delta Connection") count under the ticketing airline, and the operator is listed.
Best time of day to fly
On-time rate by scheduled departure hour (local time at SEA). Delays build through the day as late planes knock on, so early flights usually do best.
By airline and hour
| Departs | Alaska Airlines | Southwest Airlines |
|---|---|---|
| 7 a.m. | 91% | — |
| 8 a.m. | 87% | — |
| 9 a.m. | — | 87% |
| 11 a.m. | 70% | — |
| 4 p.m. | 77% | — |
| 7 p.m. | — | 50% |
| 9 p.m. | 74% | — |
Last flight of the day
On SEA → OAK, each airline's last flight of the day was cancelled 1.1% of the time, against 0.8% for its earlier flights (1.3× as often). It arrived 3+ hours late 1.1% of the time (earlier flights: 0.2%). It matters more than the numbers suggest. Miss an earlier flight and there's another one that evening; miss the last one and you're usually waiting until morning.
| Airline | Last departure | Last: cancelled | Last: 3h+ late | Earlier: cancelled | Next morning |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaska Airlines | 5:25 p.m. | 1.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | first flight 7:12 a.m. |
| Southwest Airlines | 7:55 p.m. | 0.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | first flight 6:15 a.m. |
Last flight = the airline's last scheduled departure on this route that day, on days it flies the route at least twice; past 12 months. Times are typical scheduled times over the latest three months.
If you need to be in OAK tonight, book an earlier flight so there's a backup if it's cancelled.
By month
Each calendar month pooled over 2023–2026. Best: October (82%). Worst: August (67%).
By day of week
| Day | Flights | On time | Cancelled |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monday | 352 | 71% | 1.1% |
| Tuesday | 322 | 78% | 1.9% |
| Wednesday | 321 | 83% | 0.3% |
| Thursday | 343 | 72% | 0.9% |
| Friday | 340 | 73% | 0.9% |
| Saturday | 275 | 80% | 0.7% |
| Sunday | 350 | 69% | 0.6% |
Why flights were late
Share of delay minutes on flights 15+ minutes late, as reported to BTS by the airlines.
Cancellations: airline 13 · air traffic/airport 7 · weather 1
Month by month
Flight numbers on this route
Regular flights with at least 120 scheduled trips in the past year. Sorted by departure time.
| Flight | Departs | Flights | On time | Cancelled | Typical arrival | Operated by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS 1328 | 11:41 a.m. | 238 | 74% | 0.4% | −5 min | Alaska Airlines |
| AS 706 | 9:45 p.m. | 291 | 74% | 2.1% | −3 min | Alaska Airlines |
Worst days in the past year
| Date | Flights | On time | Cancelled |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2026 | 5 | 0% | 1 |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 7 | 14% | 0 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | 6 | 17% | 0 |
| Aug 22, 2026 | 6 | 17% | 0 |
| Jul 26, 2026 | 8 | 25% | 0 |
Nearby airport alternatives
Other ways to make the same trip, using airports within 60 miles of Seattle or Oakland. SEA → SJC has been 5 points more reliable.
| Route | Flights | On time | Cancelled |
|---|---|---|---|
| SEA → OAK (this route) | 2,303 | 75% | 0.9% |
| SEA → SJC Seattle-Tacoma to San Jose | 4,464 | 80% | 0.6% |
| SEA → SFO Seattle-Tacoma to San Francisco | 6,822 | 59% | 1.1% |
| PAE → SFO Seattle Paine to San Francisco | 622 | 48% | 1.1% |
Questions
How often are flights from SEA to OAK on time?
75% of 2,303 scheduled flights from Seattle, WA to Oakland, CA arrived within 15 minutes of schedule between September 2025 and August 2026. 0.9% were cancelled.
What is the best time of day to fly SEA to OAK?
Flights scheduled to leave at 6 a.m. were the most reliable (93% on time). The 7 p.m. departures were the least (57%).
Which airline is most on time from SEA to OAK?
Alaska Airlines: 80% of its 1,215 flights on the route arrived on time. Southwest Airlines: 70%.
What month has the most delays from SEA to OAK?
August (67% on time). The best month is October (82%), over 2023–2026.
Is the last flight of the day from SEA to OAK more likely to be cancelled?
Yes. Each airline's last SEA–OAK flight of the day was cancelled 1.1% of the time over the past year, against 0.8% for its earlier flights. If the last flight is cancelled, the next one is usually the following morning.
Related
- OAK → SEA (return)
- Seattle-Tacoma (SEA) delays by hour
- Flights into Oakland (OAK)
- Alaska Airlines on-time record
- Southwest Airlines on-time record
- Connecting off this flight? Check the risk
Domestic flights by the airlines that report to the U.S. DOT, plus their regional partners. "On time" means arriving less than 15 minutes after schedule; cancelled and diverted flights count as not on time. Past performance is a guide, not a forecast. Method.