54% of flights from San Francisco to Everett arrived on time over the past 12 months. That is worse than the typical U.S. route. 22% of flights arrived more than an hour late or not at all.
How late?
The on-time rate treats a flight 20 minutes late the same as one 5 hours late. Here's the split for SFO → PAE: when a flight was late, it was under 45 minutes late 44% of the time. About 1 in 6 flights landed an hour or more late, and 1 in 89 three hours or more; 2.7% were cancelled outright.
- On time or early54%
- 15–30 min late11%
- 30–60 min late13%
- 1–2 hours late13%
- 2–3 hours late3.5%
- 3+ hours late1.1%
- Diverted1.6%
- Cancelled2.7%
Share of all 621 scheduled flights, past 12 months, by arrival time against schedule.
By airline
| Airline | Flights | On time | Cancelled | Typical arrival | 1h+ late | Avg when late | Operated by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaska Airlines | 621 | 54% | 2.7% | +6 min | 17.2% | +65 min | Horizon Air |
Airline = the name on the ticket. Regional flights (e.g. "Delta Connection") count under the ticketing airline, and the operator is listed.
Best time of day to fly
On-time rate by scheduled departure hour (local time at SFO). Delays build through the day as late planes knock on, so early flights usually do best.
Last flight of the day
On SFO → PAE, each airline's last flight of the day was cancelled 2.4% of the time, against 3.0% for its earlier flights, so here the last flight is actually the safer one. It arrived 3+ hours late 1.6% of the time (earlier flights: 1.5%). It matters more than the numbers suggest. Miss an earlier flight and there's another one that evening; miss the last one and you're usually waiting until morning.
| Airline | Last departure | Last: cancelled | Last: 3h+ late | Earlier: cancelled | Next morning |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaska Airlines | 8:05 p.m. | 2.4% | 1.6% | 3.0% | first flight 8:20 a.m. |
Last flight = the airline's last scheduled departure on this route that day, on days it flies the route at least twice; past 12 months. Times are typical scheduled times over the latest three months.
By month
Each calendar month pooled over 2023–2026. Best: June (72%). Worst: April (51%).
By day of week
| Day | Flights | On time | Cancelled |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monday | 97 | — | — |
| Tuesday | 86 | — | — |
| Wednesday | 87 | — | — |
| Thursday | 92 | — | — |
| Friday | 95 | — | — |
| Saturday | 68 | — | — |
| Sunday | 96 | — | — |
Why flights were late
Share of delay minutes on flights 15+ minutes late, as reported to BTS by the airlines.
Cancellations: air traffic/airport 8 · airline 7 · weather 2
Month by month
Not enough months with data to draw a trend.
Flight numbers on this route
Regular flights with at least 120 scheduled trips in the past year. Sorted by departure time.
| Flight | Departs | Flights | On time | Cancelled | Typical arrival | Operated by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS 2083 | 8:05 p.m. | 182 | 37% | 4.4% | +27 min | Horizon Air |
Worst days in the past year
| Date | Flights | On time | Cancelled |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | 3 | 0% | 0 |
| Aug 27, 2026 | 3 | 33% | 0 |
| Aug 21, 2026 | 3 | 33% | 1 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | 3 | 33% | 0 |
| Aug 23, 2026 | 3 | 67% | 0 |
Nearby airport alternatives
Other ways to make the same trip, using airports within 60 miles of San Francisco or Everett. SJC → SEA has been 28 points more reliable.
| Route | Flights | On time | Cancelled |
|---|---|---|---|
| SFO → PAE (this route) | 621 | 54% | 2.7% |
| SJC → SEA San Jose to Seattle-Tacoma | 4,461 | 82% | 0.6% |
| OAK → SEA Oakland to Seattle-Tacoma | 2,304 | 77% | 1.0% |
| SFO → SEA San Francisco to Seattle-Tacoma | 6,824 | 71% | 1.1% |
Questions
How often are flights from SFO to PAE on time?
54% of 621 scheduled flights from San Francisco, CA to Everett, WA arrived within 15 minutes of schedule between September 2025 and August 2026. 2.7% were cancelled.
What month has the most delays from SFO to PAE?
April (51% on time). The best month is June (72%), over 2023–2026.
Is the last flight of the day from SFO to PAE more likely to be cancelled?
No, the opposite. Each airline's last SFO–PAE flight of the day was cancelled 2.4% of the time over the past year, against 3.0% for its earlier flights. If the last flight is cancelled, the next one is usually the following morning.
Related
- PAE → SFO (return)
- San Francisco (SFO) delays by hour
- Flights into Seattle Paine (PAE)
- Alaska Airlines on-time record
- Connecting off this flight? Check the risk
Domestic flights by the airlines that report to the U.S. DOT, plus their regional partners. "On time" means arriving less than 15 minutes after schedule; cancelled and diverted flights count as not on time. Past performance is a guide, not a forecast. Method.