ON TIMEBOARD

SNA → SEA on time

Orange County John Wayne (Santa Ana, CA) to Seattle-Tacoma (Seattle, WA). Every scheduled flight, September 2025 to August 2026.

On time
85%
arrived < 15 min late
Cancelled
1.1%
3,944 flights
Typical arrival
−10 min
median vs schedule
When late
+57 min
average delay
Flights / day
11
2 airlines

85% of flights from Santa Ana to Seattle arrived on time over the past 12 months. That is better than the typical U.S. route. The 6 a.m. departures ran on time 93% of the time; the 6 p.m. ones 66%. Most reliable airline: Alaska Airlines (87%). 5% of flights arrived more than an hour late or not at all.

How late?

The on-time rate treats a flight 20 minutes late the same as one 5 hours late. Here's the split for SNA → SEA: when a flight was late, it was under 45 minutes late 65% of the time. About 1 in 30 flights landed an hour or more late, and 1 in 197 three hours or more; 1.1% were cancelled outright.

Share of all 3,944 scheduled flights, past 12 months, by arrival time against schedule.

By airline

AirlineFlightsOn timeCancelledTypical arrival1h+ lateAvg when lateOperated by
Alaska Airlines2,56987%1.1%−11 min2.4%+48 minAlaska Airlines
Delta Air Lines1,37581%0.9%−9 min4.9%+69 minDelta Air Lines 65%, SkyWest 35%

Airline = the name on the ticket. Regional flights (e.g. "Delta Connection") count under the ticketing airline, and the operator is listed.

Best time of day to fly

On-time rate by scheduled departure hour (local time at SNA). Delays build through the day as late planes knock on, so early flights usually do best.

40%70%100%6 a.m. departures: 93% on time (311 flights)936a7 a.m. departures: 87% on time (389 flights)877a8 a.m. departures: 90% on time (391 flights)908a9 a.m. departures: too few flights9a10 a.m. departures: 91% on time (415 flights)9110a11 a.m. departures: 83% on time (331 flights)8311anoon departures: 87% on time (314 flights)8712p1 p.m. departures: too few flights (54 flights)1p2 p.m. departures: 81% on time (283 flights)812p3 p.m. departures: 86% on time (325 flights)863p4 p.m. departures: too few flights (1 flights)4p5 p.m. departures: 80% on time (474 flights)805p6 p.m. departures: 66% on time (319 flights)666p7 p.m. departures: 82% on time (159 flights)827p8 p.m. departures: 90% on time (103 flights)908p9 p.m. departures: too few flights (75 flights)9p
SNA → SEA, share of flights arriving on time, by departure hour. Hours with under 100 flights are greyed out.
82%+ on time76–82%68–76%under 68%too few flights

By airline and hour

DepartsAlaska AirlinesDelta Air Lines
6 a.m.93%—
7 a.m.—88%
8 a.m.90%—
10 a.m.91%—
11 a.m.—82%
noon87%—
2 p.m.87%74%
3 p.m.88%85%
5 p.m.81%74%
6 p.m.—70%
7 p.m.83%—
8 p.m.90%—

Last flight of the day

On SNA → SEA, each airline's last flight of the day was cancelled 1.9% of the time, against 0.9% for its earlier flights (2.2× as often). It arrived 3+ hours late 0.8% of the time (earlier flights: 0.4%). It matters more than the numbers suggest. Miss an earlier flight and there's another one that evening; miss the last one and you're usually waiting until morning.

AirlineLast departureLast: cancelledLast: 3h+ lateEarlier: cancelledNext morning
Alaska Airlines6:46 p.m.2.5%0.3%0.9%first flight 6:47 a.m.
Delta Air Lines6:45 p.m.1.4%1.4%0.8%first flight 7:00 a.m.

Last flight = the airline's last scheduled departure on this route that day, on days it flies the route at least twice; past 12 months. Times are typical scheduled times over the latest three months.

If you need to be in SEA tonight, book an earlier flight so there's a backup if it's cancelled.

By month

Each calendar month pooled over 2023–2026. Best: November (89%). Worst: June (77%).

40%70%100%Jan: 83% on time (954 flights)83JanFeb: 87% on time (855 flights)87FebMar: 85% on time (911 flights)85MarApr: 89% on time (921 flights)89AprMay: 84% on time (1,041 flights)84MayJun: 77% on time (1,045 flights)77JunJul: 80% on time (1,098 flights)80JulAug: 78% on time (1,061 flights)78AugSep: 86% on time (1,056 flights)86SepOct: 88% on time (1,085 flights)88OctNov: 89% on time (1,031 flights)89NovDec: 85% on time (972 flights)85Dec

By day of week

DayFlightsOn timeCancelled
Monday60883%1.0%
Tuesday54487%0.9%
Wednesday53890%0.0%
Thursday58781%1.2%
Friday58983%1.9%
Saturday48787%1.4%
Sunday59182%1.0%

Why flights were late

Share of delay minutes on flights 15+ minutes late, as reported to BTS by the airlines.

Airline (crew, maintenance, ops) 42%Late inbound plane 38%Air traffic & airport (NAS) 17%Severe weather 3%

Cancellations: airline 29 · weather 9 · air traffic/airport 4

Month by month

60%80%100%Sep 2023Jan 2024Jan 2025Jan 2026Sep 2023: 87% on time, 1.6% cancelledOct 2023: 91% on time, 0.3% cancelledNov 2023: 89% on time, 0.3% cancelledDec 2023: 91% on time, 1.5% cancelledJan 2024: 77% on time, 1.8% cancelledFeb 2024: 89% on time, 1.0% cancelledMar 2024: 84% on time, 0.6% cancelledApr 2024: 88% on time, 0.3% cancelledMay 2024: 87% on time, 1.2% cancelledJun 2024: 82% on time, 2.1% cancelledJul 2024: 84% on time, 2.6% cancelledAug 2024: 82% on time, 1.1% cancelledSep 2024: 84% on time, 0.9% cancelledOct 2024: 88% on time, 0.9% cancelledNov 2024: 88% on time, 0.6% cancelledDec 2024: 84% on time, 0.0% cancelledJan 2025: 84% on time, 1.0% cancelledFeb 2025: 83% on time, 4.2% cancelledMar 2025: 88% on time, 0.7% cancelledApr 2025: 89% on time, 0.3% cancelledMay 2025: 75% on time, 0.6% cancelledJun 2025: 68% on time, 1.4% cancelledJul 2025: 79% on time, 2.1% cancelledAug 2025: 74% on time, 0.8% cancelledSep 2025: 88% on time, 0.6% cancelledOct 2025: 85% on time, 2.1% cancelledNov 2025: 91% on time, 1.2% cancelledDec 2025: 79% on time, 1.3% cancelledJan 2026: 88% on time, 1.6% cancelledFeb 2026: 88% on time, 1.4% cancelledMar 2026: 83% on time, 2.6% cancelledApr 2026: 90% on time, 0.3% cancelledMay 2026: 91% on time, 0.3% cancelledJun 2026: 80% on time, 0.3% cancelledJul 2026: 78% on time, 0.3% cancelledAug 2026: 76% on time, 1.2% cancelled
Share of flights on time, by month (hover a point for cancellations)
SNA → SEA, monthly on-time and cancellation rate.

Flight numbers on this route

Regular flights with at least 120 scheduled trips in the past year. Sorted by departure time.

FlightDepartsFlightsOn timeCancelledTypical arrivalOperated by
AS 13256:45 a.m.34092%1.8%−12 minAlaska Airlines
AS 7028:05 a.m.30990%0.7%−11 minAlaska Airlines
AS 137810:27 a.m.23792%0.4%−14 minAlaska Airlines
AS 54812:05 p.m.26389%1.1%−12 minAlaska Airlines
AS 7602:45 p.m.27387%0.7%−9 minAlaska Airlines
DL 39995:25 p.m.13769%0.7%+1 minSkyWest
AS 7745:32 p.m.20882%0.5%−9 minAlaska Airlines
AS 13108:58 p.m.17683%1.7%−13 minAlaska Airlines

Worst days in the past year

DateFlightsOn timeCancelled
Mar 13, 2026119%5
Aug 13, 20261136%1
Mar 14, 2026838%2
Jul 16, 20261242%1
Jul 27, 20261242%0

Nearby airport alternatives

Other ways to make the same trip, using airports within 60 miles of Santa Ana or Seattle. None has been clearly more reliable than SNA → SEA.

RouteFlightsOn timeCancelled
SNA → SEA (this route)3,94485%1.1%
ONT → SEA Ontario to Seattle-Tacoma2,48885%1.1%
LAX → SEA Los Angeles LAX to Seattle-Tacoma7,54484%0.8%
BUR → SEA Hollywood Burbank to Seattle-Tacoma1,65382%2.4%

Questions

How often are flights from SNA to SEA on time?

85% of 3,944 scheduled flights from Santa Ana, CA to Seattle, WA arrived within 15 minutes of schedule between September 2025 and August 2026. 1.1% were cancelled.

What is the best time of day to fly SNA to SEA?

Flights scheduled to leave at 6 a.m. were the most reliable (93% on time). The 6 p.m. departures were the least (66%).

Which airline is most on time from SNA to SEA?

Alaska Airlines: 87% of its 2,569 flights on the route arrived on time. Delta Air Lines: 81%.

What month has the most delays from SNA to SEA?

June (77% on time). The best month is November (89%), over 2023–2026.

Is the last flight of the day from SNA to SEA more likely to be cancelled?

Yes. Each airline's last SNA–SEA flight of the day was cancelled 1.9% of the time over the past year, against 0.9% for its earlier flights. If the last flight is cancelled, the next one is usually the following morning.

Related

Domestic flights by the airlines that report to the U.S. DOT, plus their regional partners. "On time" means arriving less than 15 minutes after schedule; cancelled and diverted flights count as not on time. Past performance is a guide, not a forecast. Method.