78% of flights from Tampa to New Orleans arrived on time over the past 12 months. That is about the typical U.S. route. The 7 a.m. departures ran on time 94% of the time; the 5 p.m. ones 62%. Most reliable airline: Southwest Airlines (80%). 8% of flights arrived more than an hour late or not at all.
How late?
The on-time rate treats a flight 20 minutes late the same as one 5 hours late. Here's the split for TPA → MSY: when a flight was late, it was under 45 minutes late 61% of the time. About 1 in 15 flights landed an hour or more late, and 1 in 150 three hours or more; 0.9% were cancelled outright.
- On time or early78%
- 15–30 min late8.8%
- 30–60 min late5.2%
- 1–2 hours late4.2%
- 2–3 hours late1.8%
- 3+ hours late0.7%
- Diverted0.1%
- Cancelled0.9%
Share of all 1,051 scheduled flights, past 12 months, by arrival time against schedule.
By airline
| Airline | Flights | On time | Cancelled | Typical arrival | 1h+ late | Avg when late | Operated by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwest Airlines | 855 | 80% | 0.6% | −6 min | 5.6% | +56 min | Southwest Airlines |
| Spirit Airlines | 193 | 69% | 2.1% | −5 min | 11.4% | +64 min | Spirit Airlines |
| Frontier Airlines | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | Frontier Airlines |
Airline = the name on the ticket. Regional flights (e.g. "Delta Connection") count under the ticketing airline, and the operator is listed.
Best time of day to fly
On-time rate by scheduled departure hour (local time at TPA). Delays build through the day as late planes knock on, so early flights usually do best.
By airline and hour
| Departs | Southwest Airlines | Spirit Airlines |
|---|---|---|
| 7 a.m. | 94% | — |
| 5 p.m. | — | 62% |
Last flight of the day
On TPA → MSY, each airline's last flight of the day was cancelled 0.9% of the time, against 0.4% for its earlier flights (2.3× as often). It arrived 3+ hours late 1.3% of the time (earlier flights: 0.2%). It matters more than the numbers suggest. Miss an earlier flight and there's another one that evening; miss the last one and you're usually waiting until morning.
| Airline | Last departure | Last: cancelled | Last: 3h+ late | Earlier: cancelled | Next morning |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwest Airlines | 5:10 p.m. | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | first flight 7:55 a.m. |
Last flight = the airline's last scheduled departure on this route that day, on days it flies the route at least twice; past 12 months. Times are typical scheduled times over the latest three months.
If you need to be in MSY tonight, book an earlier flight so there's a backup if it's cancelled.
By month
Each calendar month pooled over 2023–2026. Best: November (91%). Worst: August (71%).
By day of week
| Day | Flights | On time | Cancelled |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monday | 173 | 76% | 2.9% |
| Tuesday | 132 | 86% | 0.0% |
| Wednesday | 132 | 86% | 0.0% |
| Thursday | 166 | 78% | 0.0% |
| Friday | 171 | 74% | 0.6% |
| Saturday | 102 | 78% | 2.0% |
| Sunday | 175 | 73% | 0.6% |
Why flights were late
Share of delay minutes on flights 15+ minutes late, as reported to BTS by the airlines.
Cancellations: airline 5 · weather 2 · air traffic/airport 2
Month by month
Worst days in the past year
| Date | Flights | On time | Cancelled |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | 4 | 25% | 0 |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 4 | 25% | 0 |
| Oct 2, 2025 | 4 | 25% | 0 |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 4 | 25% | 3 |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 4 | 25% | 0 |
Questions
How often are flights from TPA to MSY on time?
78% of 1,051 scheduled flights from Tampa, FL to New Orleans, LA arrived within 15 minutes of schedule between September 2025 and August 2026. 0.9% were cancelled.
What is the best time of day to fly TPA to MSY?
Flights scheduled to leave at 7 a.m. were the most reliable (94% on time). The 5 p.m. departures were the least (62%).
Which airline is most on time from TPA to MSY?
Southwest Airlines: 80% of its 855 flights on the route arrived on time. Spirit Airlines: 69%.
What month has the most delays from TPA to MSY?
August (71% on time). The best month is November (91%), over 2023–2026.
Is the last flight of the day from TPA to MSY more likely to be cancelled?
Yes. Each airline's last TPA–MSY flight of the day was cancelled 0.9% of the time over the past year, against 0.4% for its earlier flights. If the last flight is cancelled, the next one is usually the following morning.
Related
- MSY → TPA (return)
- Tampa (TPA) delays by hour
- Flights into New Orleans (MSY)
- Southwest Airlines on-time record
- Spirit Airlines on-time record
- Frontier Airlines on-time record
- Connecting off this flight? Check the risk
Domestic flights by the airlines that report to the U.S. DOT, plus their regional partners. "On time" means arriving less than 15 minutes after schedule; cancelled and diverted flights count as not on time. Past performance is a guide, not a forecast. Method.