ON TIMEBOARD

TTN → MCO on time

Trenton Mercer (Trenton, NJ) to Orlando (Orlando, FL). Every scheduled flight, September 2025 to August 2026.

On time
80%
arrived < 15 min late
Cancelled
3.5%
542 flights
Typical arrival
−11 min
median vs schedule
When late
+114 min
average delay
Flights / day
1
1 airline

80% of flights from Trenton to Orlando arrived on time over the past 12 months. That is about the typical U.S. route. 11% of flights arrived more than an hour late or not at all.

How late?

The on-time rate treats a flight 20 minutes late the same as one 5 hours late. Here's the split for TTN → MCO: when a flight was late, it was under 45 minutes late 45% of the time. About 1 in 13 flights landed an hour or more late, and 1 in 39 three hours or more; 3.5% were cancelled outright.

Share of all 542 scheduled flights, past 12 months, by arrival time against schedule.

By airline

AirlineFlightsOn timeCancelledTypical arrival1h+ lateAvg when lateOperated by
Frontier Airlines54280%3.5%−11 min7.7%+114 minFrontier Airlines

Airline = the name on the ticket. Regional flights (e.g. "Delta Connection") count under the ticketing airline, and the operator is listed.

Best time of day to fly

On-time rate by scheduled departure hour (local time at TTN). Delays build through the day as late planes knock on, so early flights usually do best.

40%70%100%6 a.m. departures: 78% on time (169 flights)786a7 a.m. departures: too few flights (10 flights)7a8 a.m. departures: too few flights (34 flights)8a9 a.m. departures: too few flights (33 flights)9a10 a.m. departures: too few flights (56 flights)10a11 a.m. departures: too few flights (27 flights)11anoon departures: too few flights (35 flights)12p1 p.m. departures: too few flights (6 flights)1p2 p.m. departures: too few flights (2 flights)2p3 p.m. departures: too few flights (14 flights)3p4 p.m. departures: too few flights (30 flights)4p5 p.m. departures: too few flights (9 flights)5p6 p.m. departures: too few flights (10 flights)6p7 p.m. departures: too few flights (8 flights)7p8 p.m. departures: too few flights (59 flights)8p9 p.m. departures: too few flights (40 flights)9p
TTN → MCO, share of flights arriving on time, by departure hour. Hours with under 100 flights are greyed out.
82%+ on time76–82%68–76%under 68%too few flights

Last flight of the day

On TTN → MCO, each airline's last flight of the day was cancelled 3.9% of the time, against 2.9% for its earlier flights (1.4× as often). It arrived 3+ hours late 3.5% of the time (earlier flights: 2.4%). It matters more than the numbers suggest. Miss an earlier flight and there's another one that evening; miss the last one and you're usually waiting until morning.

AirlineLast departureLast: cancelledLast: 3h+ lateEarlier: cancelledNext morning
Frontier Airlines12:49 p.m.3.9%3.5%2.9%first flight 6:30 a.m.

Last flight = the airline's last scheduled departure on this route that day, on days it flies the route at least twice; past 12 months. Times are typical scheduled times over the latest three months.

If you need to be in MCO tonight, book an earlier flight so there's a backup if it's cancelled.

By month

Each calendar month pooled over 2023–2026. Best: November (84%). Worst: June (72%).

40%70%100%Jan: 74% on time (185 flights)74JanFeb: 75% on time (166 flights)75FebMar: 78% on time (147 flights)78MarApr: 75% on time (182 flights)75AprMay: 79% on time (160 flights)79MayJun: 72% on time (165 flights)72JunJul: 73% on time (159 flights)73JulAug: 75% on time (161 flights)75AugSep: 79% on time (111 flights)79SepOct: 84% on time (114 flights)84OctNov: 84% on time (127 flights)84NovDec: 76% on time (167 flights)76Dec

By day of week

DayFlightsOn timeCancelled
Monday84——
Tuesday56——
Wednesday50——
Thursday94——
Friday79——
Saturday85——
Sunday94——

Why flights were late

Share of delay minutes on flights 15+ minutes late, as reported to BTS by the airlines.

Late inbound plane 51%Airline (crew, maintenance, ops) 30%Air traffic & airport (NAS) 16%Severe weather 3%

Cancellations: weather 13 · airline 6

Month by month

Not enough months with data to draw a trend.

Flight numbers on this route

Regular flights with at least 120 scheduled trips in the past year. Sorted by departure time.

FlightDepartsFlightsOn timeCancelledTypical arrivalOperated by
F9 20136:00 a.m.27782%1.8%−12 minFrontier Airlines
F9 25936:00 a.m.14677%3.4%−15 minFrontier Airlines

Worst days in the past year

DateFlightsOn timeCancelled
Apr 13, 2026333%1
Apr 12, 2026333%0
Apr 9, 20263100%0

Nearby airport alternatives

Other ways to make the same trip, using airports within 60 miles of Trenton or Orlando. None has been clearly more reliable than TTN → MCO.

RouteFlightsOn timeCancelled
TTN → MCO (this route)54280%3.5%
ACY → MCO Atlantic City to Orlando42778%5.9%
ABE → SFB Lehigh Valley to Orlando Sanford64377%0.5%
EWR → MCO Newark to Orlando6,39175%3.2%
JFK → MCO New York JFK to Orlando4,80471%3.8%
PHL → MCO Philadelphia to Orlando5,33870%2.7%

Questions

How often are flights from TTN to MCO on time?

80% of 542 scheduled flights from Trenton, NJ to Orlando, FL arrived within 15 minutes of schedule between September 2025 and August 2026. 3.5% were cancelled.

What month has the most delays from TTN to MCO?

June (72% on time). The best month is November (84%), over 2023–2026.

Is the last flight of the day from TTN to MCO more likely to be cancelled?

Yes. Each airline's last TTN–MCO flight of the day was cancelled 3.9% of the time over the past year, against 2.9% for its earlier flights. If the last flight is cancelled, the next one is usually the following morning.

Related

Domestic flights by the airlines that report to the U.S. DOT, plus their regional partners. "On time" means arriving less than 15 minutes after schedule; cancelled and diverted flights count as not on time. Past performance is a guide, not a forecast. Method.