Is 45 minutes enough at MSP? 18% of inbound flights landed too late for it, allowing 30 minutes to reach the next gate. Book 75 minutes to keep the risk under 1 in 10, or 100 in July.
Separately, 1.6% of flights into MSP were cancelled or diverted (2.5% in July). That isn't a missed connection in the same sense: on one booking the airline rebooks you, though it can still cost you the day.
Check your exact itinerary through MSP →
Missed-connection risk by layover and month
Share of flights that landed at MSP too late for the connection (cancellations not included), pooled over 2023–2026. Read across your travel month.
| Layover | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40 min | 23% | 19% | 21% | 20% | 22% | 29% | 30% | 25% | 17% | 14% | 16% | 25% | 23% |
| 50 min | 17% | 13% | 15% | 13% | 15% | 21% | 22% | 18% | 11% | 9% | 11% | 18% | 16% |
| 60 min | 13% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 12% | 16% | 18% | 14% | 8% | 6% | 8% | 14% | 13% |
| 75 min | 10% | 7% | 9% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 10% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 10% | 9% |
| 90 min | 8% | 6% | 7% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 8% | 7% |
| 120 min | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 5% |
Counts flights that landed; cancelled and diverted inbound flights are reported separately above. Assumes 30 minutes to get off the plane and reach the next gate, and that the onward flight leaves on time. A terminal change or re-checking bags needs more.
Late in the day is riskier
Share of flights that would miss a 60-minute connection, by scheduled arrival time at MSP (past 12 months). Delays pile up through the day.
Riskiest flights in
| From | Flights | Miss 60 min |
|---|---|---|
| ORD Chicago | 6,420 | 21% |
| MIA Miami | 1,139 | 19% |
| DFW Dallas | 3,311 | 17% |
| DCA Washington | 2,653 | 17% |
| JFK New York | 1,096 | 16% |
| MCO Orlando | 1,943 | 15% |
| PHL Philadelphia | 2,086 | 15% |
| EWR Newark | 2,268 | 15% |
| MDW Chicago | 2,626 | 15% |
| LGA New York | 1,971 | 14% |
| GRR Grand Rapids | 1,371 | 14% |
| AUS Austin | 1,685 | 14% |
Safest flights in
| From | Flights | Miss 60 min |
|---|---|---|
| PDX Portland | 1,610 | 5% |
| SAN San Diego | 1,300 | 6% |
| SLC Salt Lake City | 1,609 | 7% |
| SEA Seattle | 2,676 | 7% |
| LAX Los Angeles | 2,109 | 8% |
| LAS Las Vegas | 2,091 | 9% |
| GFK Grand Forks | 1,188 | 9% |
| IAD Washington | 1,301 | 10% |
| BNA Nashville | 1,786 | 10% |
| IND Indianapolis | 1,363 | 10% |
| PHX Phoenix | 2,974 | 10% |
| TPA Tampa | 1,168 | 11% |
Last flights of the day from MSP
If your inbound runs late and you miss one of these, the next flight is usually the next morning. Typical last scheduled departure over the past three months:
| To | Last departure | Flights / day |
|---|---|---|
| MDW Chicago | 6:40 p.m. | 7.6 |
| IAH Houston | 6:40 p.m. | 6.5 |
| PHX Phoenix | 6:48 p.m. | 6.8 |
| LAS Las Vegas | 6:59 p.m. | 4.7 |
| MCO Orlando | 7:45 p.m. | 4.7 |
| AUS Austin | 7:45 p.m. | 4.8 |
| DTW Detroit | 7:46 p.m. | 5.5 |
| ATL Atlanta | 7:49 p.m. | 9.7 |
| DFW Dallas | 7:50 p.m. | 9.5 |
| LGA New York | 7:59 p.m. | 4.8 |
| MKE Milwaukee | 8:05 p.m. | 5.8 |
| BOS Boston | 8:09 p.m. | 5.7 |
| ORD Chicago | 8:10 p.m. | 17.8 |
| CLT Charlotte | 8:14 p.m. | 7.1 |
| EWR Newark | 8:15 p.m. | 6.2 |
| BNA Nashville | 8:20 p.m. | 5.7 |
| SLC Salt Lake City | 8:20 p.m. | 4.8 |
| DCA Washington | 8:25 p.m. | 7.1 |
| PHL Philadelphia | 8:25 p.m. | 6.3 |
| PDX Portland | 9:37 p.m. | 5.6 |
| SFO San Francisco | 9:40 p.m. | 6.1 |
| BIS Bismarck | 9:40 p.m. | 4.8 |
| OMA Omaha | 9:40 p.m. | 4.8 |
| MCI Kansas City | 9:49 p.m. | 4.8 |
| STL St. Louis | 9:50 p.m. | 6.8 |
| LAX Los Angeles | 9:59 p.m. | 6.3 |
| SEA Seattle | 10:04 p.m. | 9 |
| FSD Sioux Falls | 10:05 p.m. | 4.8 |
| DEN Denver | 10:15 p.m. | 17.6 |
| FAR Fargo | 10:46 p.m. | 5.9 |
Questions
Is 45 minutes enough for a connection at MSP?
Often, not always. Over the past year 18% of flights into Minneapolis landed too late to leave 30 minutes to reach the next gate on a 45-minute layover. With 60 minutes it was 13%; with 90, 7%. Separately, 1.6% of inbound flights were cancelled or diverted; on one booking the airline rebooks you.
How long a layover do I need at MSP?
To keep the risk of a late inbound below 1 in 10, about 75 minutes on an average month and 100 minutes in July, the worst month. Add time if you change terminals or need to re-check bags.
An estimate from past arrival delays, not a guarantee. On one ticket, the airline will rebook you if you misconnect. On separate tickets you're on your own, so leave far more time. Method.