ON TIMEBOARD

AS 515 on time

Alaska Airlines 515: Everett to Phoenix at 2:52 p.m. (past 12 months)

On time
76%
159 flights · likely 69–82%
Cancelled
0.0%
of scheduled flights
Typical arrival
−4 min
median vs schedule
When late
+63 min
average delay
Similar flights
78%
AS, same route & hour

About 1 in 4 AS 515 flights from Everett arrived 15+ minutes late, diverted or cancelled over the past year (24%); 0.0% were cancelled. The typical flight landed 4 minutes early.

AS 515: PAE → PHX

Scheduled to leave Everett at 2:52 p.m. local time. Over the past year it arrived on time 76% of the time (159 flights), in line with other AS flights on the route at that hour (78%). Last seen in the data Aug 31, 2026.

Usually Alaska Airlines's last flight of the day from Everett to Phoenix (82% of days). Alaska Airlines's last PAE–PHX flight was cancelled 0.4% of the time, against 1.1% for its earlier ones. If it's cancelled, the next Alaska Airlines flight is usually around 10:36 a.m. the next morning.

Month by month

40%70%100%Mar 2025: 87% on time (30 flights)87MarApr 2025: 97% on time (29 flights)97AprMay 2025: too few flights (12 flights)MayOct 2025: too few flights (5 flights)OctNov 2025: 52% on time (29 flights)52NovDec 2025: 87% on time (31 flights)87DecJan 2026: too few flights (6 flights)JanApr 2026: too few flights (5 flights)AprMay 2026: too few flights (7 flights)MayJun 2026: 90% on time (21 flights)90JunJul 2026: 66% on time (29 flights)66JulAug 2026: 85% on time (26 flights)85Aug

By day of week

DayFlightsOn time
Monday2662%
Tuesday2186%
Wednesday19—
Thursday2378%
Friday2479%
Saturday2095%
Sunday2669%

Why it was late

Air traffic & airport (NAS) 58%Airline (crew, maintenance, ops) 26%Late inbound plane 15%Security 1%

All flights PAE → PHX · Connecting off AS 515? Check the risk

Questions

How often is AS 515 from PAE to PHX late?

Alaska Airlines 515 from Everett, WA to Phoenix, AZ arrived 15 or more minutes late, was diverted or was cancelled on 24% of 159 scheduled flights between September 2025 and August 2026. 0.0% were cancelled.

Flight numbers change. Figures cover flights with this airline, number and route only. "Likely range" is the 95% interval for the true on-time rate given the number of flights. This is history, not live status: check Alaska Airlines for today's flight. Method.