ON TIMEBOARD

BHM → MCO on time

Birmingham-Shuttlesworth (Birmingham, AL) to Orlando (Orlando, FL). Every scheduled flight, September 2025 to August 2026.

On time
79%
arrived < 15 min late
Cancelled
0.5%
859 flights
Typical arrival
−2 min
median vs schedule
When late
+60 min
average delay
Flights / day
2
1 airline

79% of flights from Birmingham to Orlando arrived on time over the past 12 months. That is about the typical U.S. route. The 6 a.m. departures ran on time 94% of the time; the 5 p.m. ones 65%. 7% of flights arrived more than an hour late or not at all.

How late?

The on-time rate treats a flight 20 minutes late the same as one 5 hours late. Here's the split for BHM → MCO: when a flight was late, it was under 45 minutes late 64% of the time. About 1 in 18 flights landed an hour or more late, and 1 in 72 three hours or more; 0.5% were cancelled outright.

Share of all 859 scheduled flights, past 12 months, by arrival time against schedule.

By airline

AirlineFlightsOn timeCancelledTypical arrival1h+ lateAvg when lateOperated by
Southwest Airlines85979%0.5%−2 min5.7%+60 minSouthwest Airlines

Airline = the name on the ticket. Regional flights (e.g. "Delta Connection") count under the ticketing airline, and the operator is listed.

Best time of day to fly

On-time rate by scheduled departure hour (local time at BHM). Delays build through the day as late planes knock on, so early flights usually do best.

40%70%100%6 a.m. departures: 94% on time (198 flights)946a7 a.m. departures: 94% on time (144 flights)947a8 a.m. departures: too few flights (1 flights)8a9 a.m. departures: too few flights (14 flights)9a10 a.m. departures: too few flights (40 flights)10a11 a.m. departures: too few flights (77 flights)11anoon departures: too few flights (8 flights)12p1 p.m. departures: too few flights (24 flights)1p2 p.m. departures: too few flights (12 flights)2p3 p.m. departures: too few flights (4 flights)3p4 p.m. departures: too few flights (56 flights)4p5 p.m. departures: 65% on time (224 flights)655p6 p.m. departures: too few flights (37 flights)6p
BHM → MCO, share of flights arriving on time, by departure hour. Hours with under 100 flights are greyed out.
82%+ on time76–82%68–76%under 68%too few flights

Last flight of the day

On BHM → MCO, each airline's last flight of the day was cancelled 0.6% of the time, against 0.4% for its earlier flights (1.5× as often). It arrived 3+ hours late 2.1% of the time (earlier flights: 1.0%). It matters more than the numbers suggest. Miss an earlier flight and there's another one that evening; miss the last one and you're usually waiting until morning.

AirlineLast departureLast: cancelledLast: 3h+ lateEarlier: cancelledNext morning
Southwest Airlines5:20 p.m.0.6%2.1%0.4%first flight 6:55 a.m.

Last flight = the airline's last scheduled departure on this route that day, on days it flies the route at least twice; past 12 months. Times are typical scheduled times over the latest three months.

If you need to be in MCO tonight, book an earlier flight so there's a backup if it's cancelled.

By month

Each calendar month pooled over 2023–2026. Best: November (87%). Worst: June (67%).

40%70%100%Jan: 81% on time (195 flights)81JanFeb: 82% on time (175 flights)82FebMar: 70% on time (212 flights)70MarApr: 82% on time (219 flights)82AprMay: 76% on time (230 flights)76MayJun: 67% on time (209 flights)67JunJul: 69% on time (209 flights)69JulAug: 74% on time (141 flights)74AugSep: 85% on time (111 flights)85SepOct: 84% on time (213 flights)84OctNov: 87% on time (202 flights)87NovDec: 82% on time (209 flights)82Dec

By day of week

DayFlightsOn timeCancelled
Monday12481%0.8%
Tuesday10786%0.0%
Wednesday10684%0.0%
Thursday12177%0.8%
Friday12679%0.0%
Saturday13477%0.0%
Sunday14169%1.4%

Why flights were late

Share of delay minutes on flights 15+ minutes late, as reported to BTS by the airlines.

Late inbound plane 47%Air traffic & airport (NAS) 35%Airline (crew, maintenance, ops) 13%Severe weather 5%

Cancellations: air traffic/airport 2 · airline 1 · weather 1

Month by month

Not enough months with data to draw a trend.

Worst days in the past year

DateFlightsOn timeCancelled
Nov 10, 202530%0
Mar 15, 202630%0
Mar 16, 202630%1
Mar 8, 2026333%0
Apr 5, 2026333%1

Questions

How often are flights from BHM to MCO on time?

79% of 859 scheduled flights from Birmingham, AL to Orlando, FL arrived within 15 minutes of schedule between September 2025 and August 2026. 0.5% were cancelled.

What is the best time of day to fly BHM to MCO?

Flights scheduled to leave at 6 a.m. were the most reliable (94% on time). The 5 p.m. departures were the least (65%).

What month has the most delays from BHM to MCO?

June (67% on time). The best month is November (87%), over 2023–2026.

Is the last flight of the day from BHM to MCO more likely to be cancelled?

Yes. Each airline's last BHM–MCO flight of the day was cancelled 0.6% of the time over the past year, against 0.4% for its earlier flights. If the last flight is cancelled, the next one is usually the following morning.

Related

Domestic flights by the airlines that report to the U.S. DOT, plus their regional partners. "On time" means arriving less than 15 minutes after schedule; cancelled and diverted flights count as not on time. Past performance is a guide, not a forecast. Method.