77% of flights from Seattle to Phoenix arrived on time over the past 12 months. That is about the typical U.S. route. The 5 a.m. departures ran on time 93% of the time; the 5 p.m. ones 68%. Most reliable airline: American Airlines (82%). 6% of flights arrived more than an hour late or not at all.
How late?
The on-time rate treats a flight 20 minutes late the same as one 5 hours late. Here's the split for SEA → PHX: when a flight was late, it was under 45 minutes late 63% of the time. About 1 in 19 flights landed an hour or more late, and 1 in 126 three hours or more; 0.7% were cancelled outright.
- On time or early77%
- 15–30 min late9.5%
- 30–60 min late6.7%
- 1–2 hours late3.4%
- 2–3 hours late1.2%
- 3+ hours late0.8%
- Diverted0.4%
- Cancelled0.7%
Share of all 7,205 scheduled flights, past 12 months, by arrival time against schedule.
By airline
| Airline | Flights | On time | Cancelled | Typical arrival | 1h+ late | Avg when late | Operated by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaska Airlines | 2,889 | 78% | 0.7% | −5 min | 3.6% | +45 min | Alaska Airlines |
| Delta Air Lines | 1,768 | 80% | 1.0% | −6 min | 6.2% | +67 min | Delta Air Lines |
| American Airlines | 1,390 | 82% | 0.2% | −7 min | 5.8% | +77 min | Envoy 55%, SkyWest 29%, American Airlines 16% |
| Southwest Airlines | 1,042 | 64% | 0.8% | +5 min | 7.5% | +49 min | Southwest Airlines |
| Frontier Airlines | 116 | 71% | 5.2% | −4 min | 9.5% | +146 min | Frontier Airlines |
Airline = the name on the ticket. Regional flights (e.g. "Delta Connection") count under the ticketing airline, and the operator is listed.
Best time of day to fly
On-time rate by scheduled departure hour (local time at SEA). Delays build through the day as late planes knock on, so early flights usually do best.
By airline and hour
| Departs | Alaska Airlines | Delta Air Lines | American Airlines | Southwest Airlines |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 a.m. | — | — | — | 93% |
| 6 a.m. | — | — | 90% | 92% |
| 7 a.m. | 91% | 90% | 91% | — |
| 8 a.m. | 83% | 90% | — | — |
| 9 a.m. | 82% | 75% | — | — |
| 10 a.m. | — | — | — | 52% |
| 11 a.m. | 72% | 80% | 79% | — |
| 1 p.m. | 74% | 82% | — | — |
| 2 p.m. | 84% | — | 83% | — |
| 3 p.m. | 77% | 77% | 78% | — |
| 4 p.m. | 74% | — | — | — |
| 5 p.m. | 77% | — | — | — |
| 6 p.m. | 81% | 70% | 80% | — |
| 7 p.m. | 74% | 75% | — | — |
| 8 p.m. | 72% | 78% | — | — |
Last flight of the day
On SEA → PHX, each airline's last flight of the day was cancelled 0.9% of the time, against 0.6% for its earlier flights (1.5× as often). It arrived 3+ hours late 0.9% of the time (earlier flights: 0.8%). It matters more than the numbers suggest. Miss an earlier flight and there's another one that evening; miss the last one and you're usually waiting until morning.
| Airline | Last departure | Last: cancelled | Last: 3h+ late | Earlier: cancelled | Next morning |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| American Airlines | 6:08 p.m. | 0.3% | 1.9% | 0.2% | first flight 6:16 a.m. |
| Alaska Airlines | 8:50 p.m. | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | first flight 9:59 a.m. |
| Delta Air Lines | 8:30 p.m. | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | first flight 8:25 a.m. |
| Southwest Airlines | 7:10 p.m. | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.4% | first flight 6:30 a.m. |
Last flight = the airline's last scheduled departure on this route that day, on days it flies the route at least twice; past 12 months. Times are typical scheduled times over the latest three months.
If you need to be in PHX tonight, book an earlier flight so there's a backup if it's cancelled.
By month
Each calendar month pooled over 2023–2026. Best: April (84%). Worst: July (70%).
By day of week
| Day | Flights | On time | Cancelled |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monday | 1,089 | 73% | 0.8% |
| Tuesday | 989 | 82% | 0.4% |
| Wednesday | 993 | 82% | 0.1% |
| Thursday | 1,053 | 75% | 0.5% |
| Friday | 1,059 | 75% | 1.3% |
| Saturday | 973 | 81% | 0.5% |
| Sunday | 1,049 | 73% | 1.4% |
Why flights were late
Share of delay minutes on flights 15+ minutes late, as reported to BTS by the airlines.
Cancellations: airline 33 · weather 15 · air traffic/airport 5
Month by month
Flight numbers on this route
Regular flights with at least 120 scheduled trips in the past year. Sorted by departure time.
| Flight | Departs | Flights | On time | Cancelled | Typical arrival | Operated by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS 417 | 7:00 a.m. | 203 | 76% | 0.5% | −5 min | Alaska Airlines |
| DL 2419 | 7:10 a.m. | 365 | 90% | 0.3% | −11 min | Delta Air Lines |
| AS 606 | 8:15 a.m. | 296 | 85% | 1.7% | −12 min | Alaska Airlines |
| DL 2447 | 9:55 a.m. | 312 | 77% | 1.3% | −5 min | Delta Air Lines |
| AS 449 | 10:18 a.m. | 239 | 82% | 0.8% | −5 min | Alaska Airlines |
| DL 2449 | 11:50 a.m. | 250 | 77% | 2.0% | −6 min | Delta Air Lines |
| DL 2442 | 1:30 p.m. | 314 | 80% | 0.6% | −6 min | Delta Air Lines |
| AS 700 | 2:02 p.m. | 356 | 78% | 0.0% | −4 min | Alaska Airlines |
| AS 744 | 3:55 p.m. | 333 | 74% | 0.3% | −1 min | Alaska Airlines |
| DL 2698 | 6:30 p.m. | 348 | 72% | 0.9% | −3 min | Delta Air Lines |
| AS 632 | 7:55 p.m. | 323 | 73% | 0.3% | +1 min | Alaska Airlines |
| AS 644 | 8:50 p.m. | 198 | 69% | 1.0% | −1 min | Alaska Airlines |
Worst days in the past year
| Date | Flights | On time | Cancelled |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2026 | 21 | 5% | 7 |
| Jul 16, 2026 | 20 | 10% | 0 |
| Oct 12, 2025 | 21 | 19% | 0 |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 19 | 26% | 0 |
| Sep 26, 2025 | 19 | 26% | 2 |
Nearby airport alternatives
Other ways to make the same trip, using airports within 60 miles of Seattle or Phoenix. PAE → PHX has been 5 points more reliable.
| Route | Flights | On time | Cancelled |
|---|---|---|---|
| SEA → PHX (this route) | 7,205 | 77% | 0.7% |
| PAE → PHX Seattle Paine to Phoenix Sky Harbor | 668 | 82% | 0.6% |
Questions
How often are flights from SEA to PHX on time?
77% of 7,205 scheduled flights from Seattle, WA to Phoenix, AZ arrived within 15 minutes of schedule between September 2025 and August 2026. 0.7% were cancelled.
What is the best time of day to fly SEA to PHX?
Flights scheduled to leave at 5 a.m. were the most reliable (93% on time). The 5 p.m. departures were the least (68%).
Which airline is most on time from SEA to PHX?
American Airlines: 82% of its 1,390 flights on the route arrived on time. Alaska Airlines: 78%. Delta Air Lines: 80%. Southwest Airlines: 64%. Frontier Airlines: 71%.
What month has the most delays from SEA to PHX?
July (70% on time). The best month is April (84%), over 2023–2026.
Is the last flight of the day from SEA to PHX more likely to be cancelled?
Yes. Each airline's last SEA–PHX flight of the day was cancelled 0.9% of the time over the past year, against 0.6% for its earlier flights. If the last flight is cancelled, the next one is usually the following morning.
Related
- PHX → SEA (return)
- Seattle-Tacoma (SEA) delays by hour
- Flights into Phoenix Sky Harbor (PHX)
- Alaska Airlines on-time record
- Delta Air Lines on-time record
- American Airlines on-time record
- Southwest Airlines on-time record
- Frontier Airlines on-time record
- Connecting off this flight? Check the risk
Domestic flights by the airlines that report to the U.S. DOT, plus their regional partners. "On time" means arriving less than 15 minutes after schedule; cancelled and diverted flights count as not on time. Past performance is a guide, not a forecast. Method.