77% of flights from Tampa to Newark arrived on time over the past 12 months. That is about the typical U.S. route. The 7 a.m. departures ran on time 95% of the time; the 5 p.m. ones 52%. Most reliable airline: United Airlines (77%). 11% of flights arrived more than an hour late or not at all.
How late?
The on-time rate treats a flight 20 minutes late the same as one 5 hours late. Here's the split for TPA → EWR: when a flight was late, it was under 45 minutes late 45% of the time. About 1 in 11 flights landed an hour or more late, and 1 in 47 three hours or more; 2.0% were cancelled outright.
- On time or early76%
- 15–30 min late6.0%
- 30–60 min late6.1%
- 1–2 hours late4.5%
- 2–3 hours late2.2%
- 3+ hours late2.1%
- Diverted0.5%
- Cancelled2.0%
Share of all 2,506 scheduled flights, past 12 months, by arrival time against schedule.
By airline
| Airline | Flights | On time | Cancelled | Typical arrival | 1h+ late | Avg when late | Operated by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| United Airlines | 2,335 | 77% | 2.1% | −8 min | 8.5% | +80 min | United Airlines |
| JetBlue | 171 | 64% | 1.2% | −1 min | 14.0% | +78 min | JetBlue |
Airline = the name on the ticket. Regional flights (e.g. "Delta Connection") count under the ticketing airline, and the operator is listed.
Best time of day to fly
On-time rate by scheduled departure hour (local time at TPA). Delays build through the day as late planes knock on, so early flights usually do best.
By airline and hour
| Departs | United Airlines |
|---|---|
| 6 a.m. | 92% |
| 7 a.m. | 95% |
| 8 a.m. | 86% |
| 9 a.m. | 88% |
| 10 a.m. | 89% |
| 11 a.m. | 84% |
| 2 p.m. | 76% |
| 4 p.m. | 61% |
| 5 p.m. | 57% |
| 6 p.m. | 63% |
| 7 p.m. | 69% |
| 8 p.m. | 70% |
Last flight of the day
On TPA → EWR, each airline's last flight of the day was cancelled 2.3% of the time, against 1.9% for its earlier flights, about the same. It arrived 3+ hours late 4.8% of the time (earlier flights: 1.5%). It matters more than the numbers suggest. Miss an earlier flight and there's another one that evening; miss the last one and you're usually waiting until morning.
| Airline | Last departure | Last: cancelled | Last: 3h+ late | Earlier: cancelled | Next morning |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| United Airlines | 5:45 p.m. | 2.5% | 4.1% | 2.0% | first flight 7:05 a.m. |
Last flight = the airline's last scheduled departure on this route that day, on days it flies the route at least twice; past 12 months. Times are typical scheduled times over the latest three months.
By month
Each calendar month pooled over 2023–2026. Best: February (83%). Worst: July (58%).
By day of week
| Day | Flights | On time | Cancelled |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monday | 376 | 70% | 3.5% |
| Tuesday | 351 | 81% | 1.1% |
| Wednesday | 347 | 84% | 0.3% |
| Thursday | 367 | 75% | 0.5% |
| Friday | 371 | 81% | 1.6% |
| Saturday | 325 | 76% | 1.8% |
| Sunday | 369 | 69% | 4.9% |
Why flights were late
Share of delay minutes on flights 15+ minutes late, as reported to BTS by the airlines.
Cancellations: weather 36 · air traffic/airport 12 · airline 2
Month by month
Flight numbers on this route
Regular flights with at least 120 scheduled trips in the past year. Sorted by departure time.
| Flight | Departs | Flights | On time | Cancelled | Typical arrival | Operated by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UA 2204 | 9:00 a.m. | 221 | 84% | 0.9% | −11 min | United Airlines |
Worst days in the past year
| Date | Flights | On time | Cancelled |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2026 | 8 | 0% | 8 |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 7 | 0% | 0 |
| Jan 25, 2026 | 7 | 0% | 7 |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 6 | 0% | 2 |
| Sep 4, 2025 | 6 | 0% | 0 |
Nearby airport alternatives
Other ways to make the same trip, using airports within 60 miles of Tampa or Newark. SRQ → EWR has been 5 points more reliable.
| Route | Flights | On time | Cancelled |
|---|---|---|---|
| TPA → EWR (this route) | 2,506 | 77% | 2.0% |
| SRQ → EWR Sarasota Bradenton to Newark | 929 | 82% | 3.0% |
| TPA → JFK Tampa to New York JFK | 2,307 | 75% | 4.2% |
| TPA → ISP Tampa to Long Island MacArthur | 430 | 73% | 2.8% |
| TPA → LGA Tampa to LaGuardia | 2,764 | 71% | 3.3% |
| SRQ → JFK Sarasota Bradenton to New York JFK | 533 | 69% | 3.9% |
| SRQ → LGA Sarasota Bradenton to LaGuardia | 542 | 68% | 5.9% |
Questions
How often are flights from TPA to EWR on time?
77% of 2,506 scheduled flights from Tampa, FL to Newark, NJ arrived within 15 minutes of schedule between September 2025 and August 2026. 2.0% were cancelled.
What is the best time of day to fly TPA to EWR?
Flights scheduled to leave at 7 a.m. were the most reliable (95% on time). The 5 p.m. departures were the least (52%).
Which airline is most on time from TPA to EWR?
United Airlines: 77% of its 2,335 flights on the route arrived on time. JetBlue: 64%.
What month has the most delays from TPA to EWR?
July (58% on time). The best month is February (83%), over 2023–2026.
Is the last flight of the day from TPA to EWR more likely to be cancelled?
Not much. Each airline's last TPA–EWR flight of the day was cancelled 2.3% of the time over the past year, against 1.9% for its earlier flights. If the last flight is cancelled, the next one is usually the following morning.
Related
- EWR → TPA (return)
- Tampa (TPA) delays by hour
- Flights into Newark (EWR)
- United Airlines on-time record
- JetBlue on-time record
- Connecting off this flight? Check the risk
Domestic flights by the airlines that report to the U.S. DOT, plus their regional partners. "On time" means arriving less than 15 minutes after schedule; cancelled and diverted flights count as not on time. Past performance is a guide, not a forecast. Method.