84% of flights from Knoxville to Washington arrived on time over the past 12 months. That is better than the typical U.S. route. The 5 a.m. departures ran on time 92% of the time; the 1 p.m. ones 78%. 8% of flights arrived more than an hour late or not at all.
How late?
The on-time rate treats a flight 20 minutes late the same as one 5 hours late. Here's the split for TYS → IAD: when a flight was late, it was under 45 minutes late 42% of the time. About 1 in 14 flights landed an hour or more late, and 1 in 59 three hours or more; 1.3% were cancelled outright.
- On time or early84%
- 15–30 min late4.0%
- 30–60 min late3.3%
- 1–2 hours late4.6%
- 2–3 hours late0.7%
- 3+ hours late1.7%
- Diverted0.1%
- Cancelled1.3%
Share of all 1,353 scheduled flights, past 12 months, by arrival time against schedule.
By airline
| Airline | Flights | On time | Cancelled | Typical arrival | 1h+ late | Avg when late | Operated by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| United Airlines | 1,266 | 84% | 1.3% | −14 min | 7.0% | +86 min | CommutAir 90%, Mesa Airlines 10% |
| Allegiant Air | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | Allegiant Air |
Airline = the name on the ticket. Regional flights (e.g. "Delta Connection") count under the ticketing airline, and the operator is listed.
Best time of day to fly
On-time rate by scheduled departure hour (local time at TYS). Delays build through the day as late planes knock on, so early flights usually do best.
By airline and hour
| Departs | United Airlines |
|---|---|
| 5 a.m. | 92% |
| 9 a.m. | 82% |
| 1 p.m. | 79% |
| 2 p.m. | 82% |
| 7 p.m. | 84% |
Last flight of the day
On TYS → IAD, each airline's last flight of the day was cancelled 1.6% of the time, against 1.1% for its earlier flights (1.5× as often). It arrived 3+ hours late 1.1% of the time (earlier flights: 2.0%). It matters more than the numbers suggest. Miss an earlier flight and there's another one that evening; miss the last one and you're usually waiting until morning.
| Airline | Last departure | Last: cancelled | Last: 3h+ late | Earlier: cancelled | Next morning |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| United Airlines | 7:19 p.m. | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | first flight 5:45 a.m. |
Last flight = the airline's last scheduled departure on this route that day, on days it flies the route at least twice; past 12 months. Times are typical scheduled times over the latest three months.
If you need to be in IAD tonight, book an earlier flight so there's a backup if it's cancelled.
By month
Each calendar month pooled over 2023–2026. Best: October (93%). Worst: January (75%).
By day of week
| Day | Flights | On time | Cancelled |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monday | 204 | 87% | 1.0% |
| Tuesday | 180 | 83% | 1.1% |
| Wednesday | 179 | 88% | 0.0% |
| Thursday | 202 | 87% | 0.0% |
| Friday | 199 | 81% | 0.5% |
| Saturday | 185 | 84% | 3.2% |
| Sunday | 204 | 79% | 2.9% |
Why flights were late
Share of delay minutes on flights 15+ minutes late, as reported to BTS by the airlines.
Cancellations: weather 15 · air traffic/airport 2
Month by month
Flight numbers on this route
Regular flights with at least 120 scheduled trips in the past year. Sorted by departure time.
| Flight | Departs | Flights | On time | Cancelled | Typical arrival | Operated by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UA 4311 | 5:45 a.m. | 173 | 92% | 0.0% | −17 min | CommutAir |
| UA 4325 | 9:40 a.m. | 365 | 82% | 1.4% | −10 min | CommutAir |
| UA 4848 | 2:25 p.m. | 362 | 81% | 1.4% | −13 min | CommutAir |
Worst days in the past year
| Date | Flights | On time | Cancelled |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | 4 | 0% | 4 |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 0% | 3 |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 3 | 0% | 2 |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 0% | 0 |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 3 | 0% | 0 |
Nearby airport alternatives
Other ways to make the same trip, using airports within 60 miles of Knoxville or Washington. None has been clearly more reliable than TYS → IAD.
| Route | Flights | On time | Cancelled |
|---|---|---|---|
| TYS → IAD (this route) | 1,353 | 84% | 1.3% |
| TYS → DCA McGhee Tyson to Washington Reagan National | 1,021 | 66% | 4.4% |
Questions
How often are flights from TYS to IAD on time?
84% of 1,353 scheduled flights from Knoxville, TN to Washington, DC arrived within 15 minutes of schedule between September 2025 and August 2026. 1.3% were cancelled.
What is the best time of day to fly TYS to IAD?
Flights scheduled to leave at 5 a.m. were the most reliable (92% on time). The 1 p.m. departures were the least (78%).
What month has the most delays from TYS to IAD?
January (75% on time). The best month is October (93%), over 2023–2026.
Is the last flight of the day from TYS to IAD more likely to be cancelled?
Yes. Each airline's last TYS–IAD flight of the day was cancelled 1.6% of the time over the past year, against 1.1% for its earlier flights. If the last flight is cancelled, the next one is usually the following morning.
Related
- IAD → TYS (return)
- McGhee Tyson (TYS) delays by hour
- Flights into Washington Dulles (IAD)
- United Airlines on-time record
- Allegiant Air on-time record
- Connecting off this flight? Check the risk
Domestic flights by the airlines that report to the U.S. DOT, plus their regional partners. "On time" means arriving less than 15 minutes after schedule; cancelled and diverted flights count as not on time. Past performance is a guide, not a forecast. Method.